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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Mississauga-Lakeshore


Prediction Changed
2021-06-30 17:45:55
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Cuzzetto, Rudy


Incumbent:
Rudy Cuzzetto

Population (2016):

117444
Population (2011):118893


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

RUDY CUZZETTO
22,52042.33%
CHARLES SOUSA *
18,63635.03%
BORIS ROSOLAK
9,73518.30%
LLOYD JONES
1,5722.95%
KENNY ROBINSON
3630.68%
JAY WARD
2230.42%
FELICIA TRIGIANI
1500.28%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

23,269 50.49%
15,420 33.45%
4,921 10.68%
1,471 3.19%
OTHERS 1,010 2.19%
Total Transposed 46,092
      Component Riding(s)

Mississauga South
(94.69% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Mississauga-Erindale
(5.31% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Sven Spengemann **
29,52648.40%
Stella Ambler
22,74037.30%
Adam Laughton
5,1038.40%
Cynthia Trentelman
2,8144.60%
Eugen Vizitiu
7171.20%
Carlton Darby
990.20%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Sven Spengemann
28,27947.70%
Stella Ambler **
24,43541.20%
Eric Guerbilsky
4,7358.00%
Ariana Burgener
1,3972.40%
Paul Woodworth
3160.50%
Dagmar Sullivan
1110.20%


 

30/07/2021 Cory
2.57.169.239
This might be the only seat the PC's lose in Peel. Sousa wasn't able to overcome the albatross that was the Wynne Liberals. The Liberals aren't nearly as reviled now as they were in 2018, and even a small bump in their province-wide polling should help them pick up this riding.
10/07/2021 John W
99.245.78.108
All indicators point to this being a winnable riding for the Liberals. The party's candidate, Elizabeth Mendes, has a lot of public policy experience and close ties to Charles Sousa from his days as Ontario's finance minister. Sousa is still well-liked in the riding and he came much closer to keeping the seat in 2018 than any other Liberal MPPs in Mississauga. Meanwhile, PC incumbent Rudy Cuzzetto has not made much of an impact as a backbencher over the last three years. It may be a close race, but I expect the Conservatives will have a tough time hanging on to this seat.
26/06/21 0 Hammer
142.120.104.154
Unlike some contributors I'll keep my comment to one Peel riding. In order for the Conservatives to retain their majority they need to keep their Peel seats yet they've done nothing to retain them. In fact, they've done everything to lose them -- disregarding the Greenbelt, MZOs, highway expansion, etc. Look for the Liberals to win some Mississauga ridings and the NDP to focus on Brampton.
18/06/2021 JW
45.41.168.96
Despite winning all six Mississauga seats, Ford did not elevate a single Mississauga MPP to his cabinet. (Understandably, they are all pretty average/unimpressive... but you figure there would be a token presence for the province's second largest city!) Mississauga ridings have almost consistently been the bellweather indicators both provincially and federally in the past couple decades. If Ford is back in as premier, most of the six Mississauga PC MPPs will be back in with him. If Ford is out as premier, none will buck the trend.
14/05/21 1 Chris N
24.36.32.209
If the Liberals gain steam in Peel region, anticipate Mississauga Lakeshore to be one of the first that flips back to red.



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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022
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