Mississauga Centre

	Chornopyskyy, Viktor
	Diab, Elie
	Franklin, Adriane
	Kusendova, Natalia
	Malik, Sumira
	Simpson, Audrey
	Vezina, Greg
	Walji, Sarah
	Wright, Stephanie

Incumbent:

		Natalia Kusendova
Population (2016):			124849
Population (2011):			118756
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
		NATALIA KUSENDOVA
		17,860	40.86%
		LAURA KAMINKER
		12,046	27.56%
		BOBBIE DAID
		11,102	25.40%
		NOAH GOULD
		1,149	2.63%
		ALEX PACIS
		890	2.04%
		FAROUK GIGA
		471	1.08%
		VIKTOR CHORNOPYSKYY
		192	0.44%
2014 Election Result: (Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
		17,903	51.49%
		9,059	26.05%
		5,543	15.94%
		1,027	2.95%
	OTHERS	1,238	3.56%
	Total Transposed		34,769
Component Riding(s)
	Mississauga East-Cooksville (36.85% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
	Mississauga-Erindale (31.31% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
	Mississauga-Brampton South (23.60% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
	Mississauga-Streetsville (8.24% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
2021 Federal Election Prediction
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Omar Alghabra **
		29,974	55.80%
		Milad Mikael
		15,874	29.50%
		Sarah Walji
		5,173	9.60%
		Hugo Reinoso
		1,646	3.10%
		David Micalef
		837	1.60%
		Greg Vezina
		252	0.50%
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Omar Alghabra
		28,372	54.70%
		Julius Tiangson
		17,431	33.60%
		Farheen Khan
		4,920	9.50%
		Linh Nguyen
		1,129	2.20%

	28/05/2022	Tony Ducey 24.137.72.105
I have the PC's holding on here. The current MPP isn't overly well known but seems to be a solid candidate (She was a nurse prior to being MPP and has returned to nursing to help out during the pandemic)
	19/05/2022	R.O. 24.146.13.249
Historically the pc’s have won seats in Mississauga when they were in power so not sure what voting patterns previous poster is quoting. Former Mississauga mayor Hazel Mccallion also endorsed Doug Ford which is a big boost for the pc’s in Mississauga. Del Duca isn’t really that well known in Peel and his effort to campaign here seems too late. Commuters in peel are also tired of grid lock and the idea of a new highway is not something that upsets them. Still feel Natalie Kusendova has the advantage here
	19/05/2022	CD 66.234.34.46
Given historical patterns, even though PCs start with an edge the odds are good that the Liberals can flip many Mississauga ridings, including this one. Latest polling doesn't have the gap between PCs and Liberals large enough in the GTA to give the PCs space in places like Mississauga.
	27/04/22	LeftCoast 207.194.253.26
Mississauga tends to swing heavily between the two parties. PC incumbent Natalia Kusendova has gotten a lot of good publicity during the pandemic, but this is amoung the strongest seats for the Liberals in the city, and they should be able to take it back easily, despite a low-profile candidate in Sumira Malik.
	11/04/22	A.S. 99.225.52.35
If Kusendova seems relatively anonymous, remember that she was a second-string PC standard-bearer after Tanya Granic Allen was forced to withdraw in '18; so she just blew in with the wave in characteristic Mississauga style. And TGA wasn't alone; the NDP candidate was also raked over the coals for controversial statements--but not only did she not withdraw, she finished 2nd (and won a surprising number of MCC condo polls), suggesting that even Mississauga's viable for the Dippers if they only tried. While they *are* running a previous federal candidate, it's far from clear that the NDP got that particular memo--it doesn't help that Mississauga tends to be "sweepy", and that kind of "sweepiness" tends to favour big-tent Liberal over the unproven NDP. Yet if it's the Libs benefiting winningly, wouldn't that put Del Duca on the brink of government? If the PCs falter, Mississauga could wind up more electorally interesting than it's practically *ever* been...
	31/03/22	R.O. 24.146.13.249
Natalie Kusendova was first elected in the 2018 election , the riding had no incumbent that year but had previously been liberal. relatively low profile mpp , few people likely know there is a nurse from Mississuaga who is also a pc mpp at queens park. Sumira Malik is the new liberal candidate and Sarah Walji is running for ndp.
	06/03/22	seasaw 69.157.38.158
The previous poster is correct that this is the strongest Liberal riding in Mississauga, and with it comes resources. Of course a big reason for the federal success is Omar. The candidate plays a big role, and the incumbent Natalia, has been immensely popular for the work she?¢â‚¬â„¢s done, and while I do believe that the Liberals will do a lot better here this time around, don?¢â‚¬â„¢t think it?¢â‚¬â„¢ll be good enough to win the seat.
	25/09/21	Chris N 2.57.169.112
This riding was the Liberal Party of Canada's strongest showing in Mississauga in the recent federal election. Of course, federal support does not equal provincial support, but it can indicate a party's resources and base in the riding. If the Del Duca-led Liberals can improve their fortunes in June, this could be a seat they win back.
	18/06/21	JW 45.41.168.96
Despite winning all six Mississauga seats, Ford did not elevate a single Mississauga MPP to his cabinet. (Understandably, they are all pretty average/unimpressive... but you figure there would be a token presence for the province's second largest city!) Mississauga ridings have almost consistently been the bellweather indicators both provincially and federally in the past couple decades. If Ford is back in as premier, most of the six Mississauga PC MPPs will be back in with him. If Ford is out as premier, none will buck the trend.