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Armstrong, Teresa |  |
Campbell, Stephen R |  |
Durnin, Dave |  |
Hashmi, Zeba |  |
Kovarikova, Jane |  |
Macdonald, Doug |  |
Medina, Adriana A. |  |
Plumb, T Paul |  |
Ramsey, Zack |
Incumbent:
| Teresa J. Armstrong |
Population (2016): |
119467 |
| Population (2011): | 119334 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
|
| |  |
TERESA J. ARMSTRONG * |
| 25,272 | 55.68% |
|  |
ERIC WENIGER |
| 13,519 | 29.78% |
|  |
LAWVIN HADISI |
| 3,797 | 8.37% |
|  |
LISA CARRIERE |
| 2,050 | 4.52% |
|  |
STEPHEN R. CAMPBELL |
| 312 | 0.69% |
|  |
ROB SMALL |
| 223 | 0.49% |
|  |
HENRYK SZYMCZYSZYN |
| 218 | 0.48% |
2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
|
|  |
8,017 | 20.23% |
|  |
9,026 | 22.78% |
|  |
19,863 | 50.14% |
|  |
1,655 | 4.18% |
| OTHERS |
1,058 | 2.67% |
| Total Transposed |
39,618 |
| Component Riding(s) |
| London-Fanshawe
(89.19% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
| London North Centre
(7.30% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
| Elgin-Middlesex-London
(3.51% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
| |
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Lindsay Mathyssen |
| 22,671 | 40.80% |
|  |
Mohamed Hammoud |
| 14,924 | 26.90% |
|  |
Michael van Holst |
| 13,770 | 24.80% |
|  |
Tom Cull |
| 2,781 | 5.00% |
|  |
Bela Kosoian |
| 1,132 | 2.00% |
|  |
Stephen Campbell |
| 297 | 0.50% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Irene Mathyssen ** |
| 20,684 | 37.80% |
|  |
Khalil Ramal |
| 17,214 | 31.40% |
|  |
Suzanna Dieleman |
| 14,891 | 27.20% |
|  |
Matthew Peloza |
| 1,604 | 2.90% |
|  |
Ali Hamadi |
| 352 | 0.60% |
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| 27/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105 |
| I think the NDP will hold on here. |
| 14/05/2022 |
prog15
72.141.124.159 |
| Armstrong will be returned on the basis of the strength of welfare and public sector/ spending constituency, and aided by the younger 'woke' voters - others will be outnumbered. And there should be little doubt that in spite of all the redistribution by spending PCs to the lower income groups in the last four years, they will get little in return. There is no indication that ridings like this (even though it isn't central Toronto) are becoming more Ford-friendly. Maybe a return to good old days of Mike Harris may better tie working class and working low income constituencies to the Tories after all, or is this just a wishful thinking? |
| 27/04/22 |
LeftCoast
207.194.253.26 |
| A strong NDP seat provincially and federally. Teresa Armstrong will be easily returned as MPP. |
| 23/04/22 |
Colin O'Neal
99.238.151.130 |
| This is the safest London-area riding for the NDP. |
| 20/04/22 |
A.S.
99.225.52.35 |
| It's actually the most "Ford Nation" of London's ridings--and somehow, it's in London where that element's more successfully suppressed than anyplace else (and unlike in Hamilton, not requiring a NDP party leader as a crutch). If that kind of energy were similarly harnessed elsewhere, Andrea Horwath would be premier-in-waiting, easily. |
| 07/03/22 |
R.O.
24.146.13.249 |
| This riding has voted for other parties in the past but does seem to have shifted more towards the ndp in recent years and likely current mpp Teresa Armstrong holds the seat. |
| 27/09/21 |
Chris N
24.36.46.234 |
| In the last decade this has become a reliable NDP riding, both provincially and federally. I doubt that will change in 2022. |
| 30/05/21 |
99.226.172.248 |
| I expect this seat to be an easy NDP hold. |
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