| |
|
|
 |
Blackmore, Shelley |  |
Eisen, Bruce |  |
Hazzard, Laurie |  |
Huenemoerder, Gerrie |  |
Kennedy, Matt | |
Stephens, Ronald |  |
Thompson, Lisa |  |
Van Ankum, Matthew |
Incumbent:
| Lisa Thompson |
Population (2016): |
106570 |
| Population (2011): | 104842 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
|
| |  |
LISA THOMPSON * |
| 27,646 | 52.36% |
|  |
JAN JOHNSTONE |
| 15,326 | 29.03% |
|  |
DON MATHESON |
| 7,356 | 13.93% |
|  |
NICHOLAS WENDLER |
| 1,804 | 3.42% |
|  |
RON STEPHENS |
| 399 | 0.76% |
|  |
GERRIE HUENEMOERDER |
| 271 | 0.51% |
2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
|
|  |
14,647 | 30.86% |
|  |
18,512 | 39.01% |
|  |
10,843 | 22.85% |
|  |
1,651 | 3.48% |
| OTHERS |
1,804 | 3.80% |
| Total Transposed |
47,457 |
| Component Riding(s) |
| Huron-Bruce
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
| |
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Ben Lobb ** |
| 29,512 | 48.50% |
|  |
Allan Thompson |
| 20,167 | 33.10% |
|  |
Tony McQuail |
| 7,421 | 12.20% |
|  |
Nicholas Wendler |
| 2,665 | 4.40% |
|  |
Kevin M. Klerks |
| 1,102 | 1.80% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Ben Lobb ** |
| 26,174 | 44.90% |
|  |
Allan Thompson |
| 23,129 | 39.70% |
|  |
Gerard Creces |
| 7,544 | 13.00% |
|  |
Jutta Splettstoesser |
| 1,398 | 2.40% |
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| 27/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105 |
| Should be a comfortable win here for Lisa Thompson and the PC party. |
| 27/04/22 |
LeftCoast
207.194.253.26 |
| Minister of Agriculture Lisa Thompson will easily hold this seat for the PCs. |
| 20/04/22 |
A.S.
99.225.52.35 |
| Actually, the Libs in '18 had a high-profile candidate in Saugeen Shores Councillor Don Matheson, who (in a rarity for SW Ontario Libs that year) even managed to win within his Southampton home turf, though he bombed most everywhere outside of Saugeen Shores and the traditionally left/Lib Bruce Power corridor--or rather his party bombed, as NDP stalwart Jan Johnstone benefited from the riding's broader left-energy instead. But yeah, I agree that in both cases, it feels more like they're conceding to the inevitable this time... |
| 04/04/22 |
R.O.
24.146.13.249 |
| Lisa Thompson was first elected in 2011 in this rural riding and re elected in the 2 elections since. Fairly well known mpp by now . liberals running Shelley Blackmore and new ndp candidate is Laurie Hazzard. Likely to stay pc. |
| 19/01/22 |
Just Me
173.241.107.68 |
This is one of those ridings where you can basically ignore everything that has happened in the past four years. Lisa Thompson was an absolute trainwreck as a cabinet minister, until Ford finally figured out that there's only one portfolio she is even remotely qualified to hold, agriculture, and finally gave it to her. The riding itself is full of social conservatives, people who vote and only vote PC. No matter how bad Ford has performed during the pandemic, or Thompson during her previous cabinet appointments, they will vote PC to the tune of 50%.
The Liberals nominated another teacher, one less well known than the last one, so it doesn't appear they're planning to be competitive. NDP candidate is again, relatively unknown, going with the nurse/educator candidate.
Until the opposition find themselves a star candidate in this area, the PC's could nominate a broom and win. They need to identify potential candidates, get them elected municipally to gain exposure and notoriety well ahead of provincial writs. Yes, it will take years of effort, but it does them no good to run out these people who aren't known outside of their communities in such massive geographical riding. |
| 18/06/21 |
JW
45.41.168.96 |
| For the most part, Southwestern Ontario (other than KW/Tricities) will be two way fight between PC and NDP. Rural SW has been realiable conservative territory both federally and provincially in the past 15 or so years. Despite Thompson's exceptionally poor performance as a cabinet minsiter, she will hold on. |
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