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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Hastings-Lennox and Addington


Prediction Changed
2022-02-28 00:40:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Bresee, Ric

Darby, Ted

Depoe, Eric

Reid, Joyce

Sloan, Derek

Wilson, Christina


Incumbent:
Daryl Kramp

Population (2016):

94333
Population (2011):92513


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

DARYL KRAMP
22,37450.25%
NATE SMELLE
14,44132.44%
TIM RIGBY
5,18011.63%
SARI WATSON
1,9244.32%
LONNIE HERRINGTON
3200.72%
GREG SCHOLFIELD
2820.63%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

11,359 31.22%
14,430 39.65%
8,346 22.94%
2,053 5.64%
OTHERS 201 0.55%
Total Transposed 36,390
      Component Riding(s)

Prince Edward-Hastings
(54.80% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington
(45.20% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Derek Sloan
21,96841.40%
Mike Bossio **
19,72137.10%
David Tough
6,98413.20%
Sari Watson
3,1145.90%
Adam L. E. Gray
1,3072.50%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Mike Bossio
21,10442.40%
Daryl Kramp **
20,87941.90%
Betty Bannon
6,34812.70%
Cam Mather
1,4662.90%


 

27/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
PC's should hold this. What will be more interesting is how Ontario Party leader, Derek Sloan, does here. I figure he'll get around 3 to 5 percent of the vote.
18/05/2022 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Since my first post has been some candidate changes here , Ric Bresee is the new pc candidate in a riding that typically favours the pc. former cpc mp turned fringe party leader Derek Sloan is running here. hes spending most of his time touring the province in an effort to help out his Ontario party candidates so unclear how much time hes actually spending here. despite being mp for 1 term he doesnt really have deep roots in this area from what I read so tough to say how hed do here as a provincial candidate for a smaller party. Eric Depoe is new ndp candidate and Ted Darby liberal but neither well known enough to pose a challenge here.
27/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
Ontario Party leader and former federal Conservative MP Derek Sloan is running here to succeed retiring MPP Daryl Kramp. He might manage somewhere around 5% if he's lucky, but Loyalist Township mayor Ric Bresee will almost certainly retain the seat for the PCs.
17/04/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
For the Tories to nominate the mayor of their weakest zone in the riding--Loyalist Twp--shows that they have their strategic thinking caps going. But other than that, the big wild card is, needless to say, Derek Sloan--though not nearly as wild as he dreams if we go by his wife scoring 1.5% and last place as a federal Independent in '21.
07/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Long time conservative mp/mpp Daryl Kramp just announced his retirement , he?€™s only been mpp since 2018 but had been mp for a large part of same riding previously. This riding has been liberal in years past but more pc mpp?€™s in recent years. unclear who the candidates will be here but feels it leans pc as things stand now.
25/01/22 Finn
174.114.153.56
The PCs should make easy work of a riding they easily won in 2018 quite handily with heavy PC support.



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