| |
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Bokhari, Sarah |  |
Cheriyan, Nigel |  |
Chroust, John |  |
Crawley, Sandy |  |
Dimakis, Ekaterini |  |
Horwath, Andrea |  |
Peace, Brad |  |
Yan, Nathalie Xian Yi |
Incumbent:
| Andrea Horwath |
Population (2016): |
100103 |
| Population (2011): | 101932 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
|
| |  |
ANDREA HORWATH * |
| 23,866 | 65.25% |
|  |
DIONNE DUNCAN |
| 5,730 | 15.67% |
|  |
DEIRDRE PIKE |
| 3,982 | 10.89% |
|  |
JASON LOPEZ |
| 2,102 | 5.75% |
|  |
TONY LEMMA |
| 320 | 0.87% |
|  |
ROBERT YOUNG |
| 285 | 0.78% |
|  |
MARIA ANASTASIOU |
| 156 | 0.43% |
|  |
MARY ELLEN CAMPBELL |
| 134 | 0.37% |
2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
|
|  |
6,532 | 21.93% |
|  |
3,773 | 12.67% |
|  |
16,248 | 54.56% |
|  |
2,741 | 9.20% |
| OTHERS |
489 | 1.64% |
| Total Transposed |
29,782 |
| Component Riding(s) |
| Hamilton Centre
(90.25% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
| Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
(9.75% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
| |
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Matthew Green |
| 20,368 | 46.20% |
|  |
Jasper Kujavsky |
| 12,651 | 28.70% |
|  |
Monica Ciriello |
| 6,341 | 14.40% |
|  |
Jason Lopez |
| 3,370 | 7.60% |
|  |
Melina Mamone |
| 833 | 1.90% |
|  |
Gary Duyzer |
| 182 | 0.40% |
|  |
Tony Lemma |
| 158 | 0.40% |
| |
Edward Graydon |
| 134 | 0.30% |
| |
Nathalie Xian Yi Yan |
| 85 | 0.20% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
David Christopherson ** |
| 18,719 | 45.60% |
|  |
Anne Tennier |
| 13,718 | 33.40% |
|  |
Yonatan Rozenszajn |
| 6,018 | 14.60% |
|  |
Ute Schmid-Jones |
| 1,778 | 4.30% |
|  |
Michael James Baldasaro |
| 348 | 0.80% |
|  |
Rob Young |
| 316 | 0.80% |
|  |
Maria Anastasiou |
| 186 | 0.50% |
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| 27/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105 |
| I think this will be Horvath's last hurrah as NDP leader and could very well be as MPP. That said this area has long been NDP friendly and she'll have no problem winning here on June 2. |
| 20/05/2022 |
Dr Bear
216.154.42.212 |
| Is there even an election going on? This is my current riding and there are almost no lawn signs what so ever. There has been little in the way of campaign literature, and engagement is nil. Compared to previous/recent elections, one would guess we are midterm, rather than two weeks away from voting. Regardless, Andrea will win her seat safely, albeit turnout will be low. |
| 01/05/2022 |
Hammer
142.116.165.176 |
| Obviously Horwath will win and yes its her last kick at the can, but things won't change here. Bokhari can work as hard as she wants (and I haven't noticed her yet) , Hamilton Centre won't elect a conservative. We have enough quality NDP candidates to annoy the rest of the province for a few more years. |
| 27/04/22 |
LeftCoast
207.194.253.26 |
| An easy hold for NDP leader Andrea Horwath. Whether she holds on to her leadership after the election is another question. |
| 14/04/22 |
A.S.
99.225.52.35 |
| As much as Premier Gorgeous Gorillawitz loves to gaslight the Leader of the Official Opposition, she's bombproof. But so's the seat--at least relative to the Tories, i.e. re Bokhari, even if Hamilton's blue-collar workers are in the long-term amenable to shifting right, there simply isn't enough of that element in Hamilton *Centre*. In the end, it's more of an "inner-city" riding than a "blue-collar" riding--that is, if the NDP's ever to be upset by anyone, it's the Libs, not the Cons--and never mind Andrea; Matthew Green federally is what cements the picture for the NDP long-term. So if Bokhari's "working hard", it's more likely as practice for a future run in a more amenable riding (which could even be either of the other Hamilton ridings). Oh, and she's run in the past, for the federal Cons in London North Centre in '19. |
| 08/04/22 |
seasaw
69.157.38.158 |
| Like my previous comment, this is a very easy one to predict. I expect Horwath to get at least 60% of the vote. The PC candidate, Sara Bokhari however, is working very hard, especially for a person who has zero chance of winning, and I think I know why. Unless Horwath becomes premier, or be in a position to become one ie leader of opposition in a minority or third party leader in a minority, then, it’s almost certain that she will be done, she’ll be offered a job by Ford, Trudeau or another premier, she’ll resign her seat and go, and that’s why Bokhari is working hard, because without Horwath, she might have a chance, because Ford’s brand of conservatism appeals to many blue collar voters who usually vote NDP. But for this time, it’s an easy Horwath hold |
| 26/03/22 |
seasaw
69.157.38.158 |
| Even if the NDP were to totally implode, this is one riding that they will win. NDP has always been strong in downtown Hamilton, that coupled with Andrea?¢â‚¬â„¢s personal popularity, makes this easy to predict. |
| 10/03/22 |
R.O.
24.146.13.249 |
| Andrea Horwath has held this riding for a number of years , and downtown Hamilton mostly ndp territory so likely she holds it as she?¢â‚¬â„¢s increased her profile over the years being ndp leader. |
| 26/06/21 |
Hammer
142.120.104.154 |
| Safer than Ford's riding. For the NDP, this is one of the safest seats in the country let alone the province. |
| 12/05/21 |
Chris N
24.36.32.209 |
| Andrea Horwath's riding will be safe in 2022. Easy win for the NDP. |
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