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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Etobicoke North


Prediction Changed
2021-06-30 17:45:55
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 


Incumbent:
Doug Ford

Population (2016):

118040
Population (2011):117601


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

DOUG FORD
19,05552.48%
MAHAMUD AMIN
9,21025.37%
SHAFIQ QAADRI *
6,60118.18%
NANCY KAUR GHUMAN
1,0262.83%
BRIANNE LEFEBVRE
4141.14%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

13,322 45.65%
6,579 22.54%
7,493 25.67%
708 2.43%
OTHERS 1,083 3.71%
Total Transposed 29,184
      Component Riding(s)

Etobicoke North
(94.68% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Etobicoke Centre
(5.32% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Kirsty Duncan **
26,38861.40%
Sarabjit Kaur
9,52422.20%
Naiima Farah
4,65410.80%
Renata Ford
1,1962.80%
Nancy Ghuman
1,0802.50%
Sudhir Mehta
1040.20%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Kirsty Duncan **
26,25162.40%
Toyin Dada
9,67323.00%
Faisal Hassan
5,22012.40%
Akhtar Ayub
5241.20%
Anna Di Carlo
2320.60%
George Szebik
1640.40%


 

01/08/2021 Stevo
164.177.56.217
It was a gutsy move of Ford to run here in 2018 given the seat's utter absence of Conservative history, since we know popularity in one level of government rarely translates to another. Now that he's won, and by a massive margin, Etobicoke North is unlikely to revert to its Liberal automaton days so long as Ford remains the local MPP.
02/06/21 1 Teddy Boragina
45.72.203.77
Ford is very popular locally, much more so than his own party. Many across Ontario may dislike him, but they do not live in this riding. Even those who do, will (to some extent, however minor) split their vote between this opponents. As such, I can not see, at this time, how he loses this seat.
12/05/21 1 Chris N
24.36.32.209
This is Doug Ford's riding, aka Ford Nation. Ford will win handedly.



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