|
|
|
 |
Aleksiev, Svetlozar |  |
Kargiannakis, Stella |  |
Khan, Rizwan |  |
Mcmullen, Donald |  |
Moini, Sam |  |
Nagy, Mara-Elena |  |
Popov, Dimitre |  |
Shamji, Adil |  |
Simmons, Wayne |  |
Twagiramariya, Denyse |
Incumbent:
 | Michael Coteau |
Population (2016): | 94579 |
Population (2011): | 93007 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
|
| |  |
MICHAEL COTEAU * |
13,012 | 35.93% |
|  |
DENZIL MINNAN-WONG |
11,984 | 33.09% |
|  |
KHALID AHMED |
9,937 | 27.44% |
|  |
MARK WONG |
917 | 2.53% |
|  |
JUSTIN ROBINSON |
236 | 0.65% |
|  |
WAYNE SIMMONS |
131 | 0.36% |
2014 Election Result: (Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
|
|  |
18,508 | 58.73% |
|  |
7,670 | 24.34% |
|  |
3,768 | 11.96% |
|  |
1,060 | 3.36% |
| OTHERS |
507 | 1.61% |
| Total Transposed |
31,512 |
Component Riding(s) |
| Don Valley East (61.44% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
| Don Valley West (38.56% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
| |
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Yasmin Ratansi ** |
25,295 | 59.80% |
|  |
Michael Ma |
10,115 | 23.90% |
|  |
Nicholas Thompson |
4,647 | 11.00% |
|  |
Dan Turcotte |
1,675 | 4.00% |
|  |
John P. Hendry |
562 | 1.30% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Yasmin Ratansi |
24,048 | 57.80% |
|  |
Maureen Harquail |
12,155 | 29.20% |
|  |
Khalid Ahmed |
4,307 | 10.40% |
|  |
Laura Elizabeth Sanderson |
1,078 | 2.60% |
|
|
|
|
|
 | 25/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey 24.137.72.105 |
I don't think the Liberals win back the government on June 2 in Ontario but they will make gains. Also I expect them to hold onto this seat with their new candidate, Adil Shamji. |
 | 27/04/22 |
LeftCoast 207.194.253.26 |
Former Premier Kathleen Wynne retired from this seat. The Liberals have nominated a strong candidate, a young doctor named Adil Shamji, who will easily hold on. |
 | 29/03/22 |
A.S. 99.225.52.35 |
A just-in-case open-seat non-prediction--though I'll presume the OLP has so much invested in keeping this that to lose it would really be a tailspin-into-irrelevance emblem on their part. And if they *do* fumble it...well, given the result last time, who says it'll inevitably be on behalf of the Tories? (So if the OLP goes the way of the Manitoba Liberals, the ONDP might well wind up occupying "Doer Democrat" space--it's *that* kind of seat.) |
 | 23/03/22 |
seasaw 69.157.38.158 |
It is true that this riding has always been Liberal. However, this riding was very close the last time. Last time, the Liberals had a cabinet minister, the PC?¢â‚¬â„¢s a popular city councillor and the NDP had a prominent candidate. This time all the candidates are unknowns. Liberals still have the edge, but the latest polls show the PC?¢â‚¬â„¢s have gained slight support in 416 over last time, while the Liberals have dropped slightly. That might play in this riding as well. |
 | 04/03/22 |
R.O. 24.146.13.249 |
Oddly few by elections this session compared to others , could have been one in this riding last fall as Coteau had resigned the seat to run federally and become mp. but none was ever called despite riding being a close 3 way race last election. Of note all the main 3 parties have new candidates this election but no high profile candidates like last time. |
 | 03/06/21 |
KXS 99.247.196.32 |
Coteau is running federally, but this should still be a lock for the Liberals unless the NDP are on route to a majority. |
|
|