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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Don Valley East


Prediction Changed
2021-06-30 17:45:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Aleksiev, Svetlozar

Kargiannakis, Stella

Khan, Rizwan

Mcmullen, Donald

Moini, Sam

Nagy, Mara-Elena

Popov, Dimitre

Shamji, Adil

Simmons, Wayne

Twagiramariya, Denyse


Incumbent:
Michael Coteau

Population (2016):

94579
Population (2011):93007


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

MICHAEL COTEAU *
13,01235.93%
DENZIL MINNAN-WONG
11,98433.09%
KHALID AHMED
9,93727.44%
MARK WONG
9172.53%
JUSTIN ROBINSON
2360.65%
WAYNE SIMMONS
1310.36%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

18,508 58.73%
7,670 24.34%
3,768 11.96%
1,060 3.36%
OTHERS 507 1.61%
Total Transposed 31,512
      Component Riding(s)

Don Valley East
(61.44% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Don Valley West
(38.56% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Yasmin Ratansi **
25,29559.80%
Michael Ma
10,11523.90%
Nicholas Thompson
4,64711.00%
Dan Turcotte
1,6754.00%
John P. Hendry
5621.30%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Yasmin Ratansi
24,04857.80%
Maureen Harquail
12,15529.20%
Khalid Ahmed
4,30710.40%
Laura Elizabeth Sanderson
1,0782.60%


 

25/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
I don't think the Liberals win back the government on June 2 in Ontario but they will make gains. Also I expect them to hold onto this seat with their new candidate, Adil Shamji.
27/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
Former Premier Kathleen Wynne retired from this seat. The Liberals have nominated a strong candidate, a young doctor named Adil Shamji, who will easily hold on.
29/03/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
A just-in-case open-seat non-prediction--though I'll presume the OLP has so much invested in keeping this that to lose it would really be a tailspin-into-irrelevance emblem on their part. And if they *do* fumble it...well, given the result last time, who says it'll inevitably be on behalf of the Tories? (So if the OLP goes the way of the Manitoba Liberals, the ONDP might well wind up occupying "Doer Democrat" space--it's *that* kind of seat.)
23/03/22 seasaw
69.157.38.158
It is true that this riding has always been Liberal. However, this riding was very close the last time. Last time, the Liberals had a cabinet minister, the PC?€™s a popular city councillor and the NDP had a prominent candidate. This time all the candidates are unknowns. Liberals still have the edge, but the latest polls show the PC?€™s have gained slight support in 416 over last time, while the Liberals have dropped slightly. That might play in this riding as well.
04/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Oddly few by elections this session compared to others , could have been one in this riding last fall as Coteau had resigned the seat to run federally and become mp. but none was ever called despite riding being a close 3 way race last election. Of note all the main 3 parties have new candidates this election but no high profile candidates like last time.
03/06/21 KXS
99.247.196.32
Coteau is running federally, but this should still be a lock for the Liberals unless the NDP are on route to a majority.



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