| |
|
|
 |
Fort, Cheryl |  |
Koski, Ron |  |
Legault, Maria |  |
Mantha, Michael |  |
Vine, Tim |  |
Weening, Frederick |
Incumbent:
| Michael Mantha |
Population (2016): |
|
| Population (2011): | 68480 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
|
| |  |
MICHAEL MANTHA * |
| 17,105 | 58.56% |
|  |
JIB TURNER |
| 7,143 | 24.45% |
|  |
CHARLES FOX |
| 2,365 | 8.10% |
|  |
TOMMY LEE |
| 1,366 | 4.68% |
|  |
JUSTIN TILSON |
| 1,025 | 3.51% |
|  |
KALENA MALLON-FERGUSON |
| 207 | 0.71% |
2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
|
|  |
6,504 | 24.51% |
|  |
4,589 | 17.30% |
|  |
14,171 | 53.41% |
|  |
828 | 3.12% |
| OTHERS |
441 | 1.66% |
| Total Transposed |
26,533 |
| Component Riding(s) |
| Algoma-Manitoulin
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
| |
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Carol Hughes ** |
| 16,883 | 41.60% |
|  |
Dave Williamson |
| 10,625 | 26.20% |
|  |
Heather Wilson |
| 9,879 | 24.30% |
|  |
Max Chapman |
| 2,192 | 5.40% |
|  |
Dave Delisle |
| 887 | 2.20% |
|  |
Le Marquis De Marmalade |
| 125 | 0.30% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Carol Hughes ** |
| 16,516 | 39.90% |
|  |
Heather Wilson |
| 14,111 | 34.10% |
|  |
André Robichaud |
| 9,820 | 23.70% |
|  |
Calvin John Orok |
| 927 | 2.20% |
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| 25/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey
24.137.73.188 |
| I think changes are going to be coming for the NDP provincially in Ontario in the aftermath of the election but I think they win here handidly on June 2. |
| 27/04/22 |
LeftCoast
207.194.253.26 |
| PCs and Liberals have both nominated good candidates (including an indigenous, woman mayor by the PCs) but this is a safe NDP seat, and Michael Mantha will be returned easily. |
| 23/04/22 |
Colin O'Neal
99.238.151.130 |
| Algoma-Manitoulin has become probably the strongest riding in Northern Ontario for both the provincial and federal NDP. The NDP will hold this riding in June. |
 | 21/04/22 |
A.S.
99.225.52.35 |
| Strangely safe and placid for the NDP these days--even federally, Carol Hughes seems to have largely resisted the rightward attrition that's plagued Charlie Angus. Though provincially, the riding has a "complicated" history due to the Harris-era riding assemblages--the former Algoma was solid NDP under Bud Wildman, the former Algoma-Manitoulin was Conservative for years before going Liberal under Peterson, then Mike Brown resisted the NDP wave and kept on going through the Harris years until Mantha conquered him. Present NDP dominance might be seen as a once-removed Wildman inheritance--though nobody could have imagined that Manitoulin, once an insular satellite of Georgian Bay Cottage Country Tory inclinations a la PSM, would shift so effortlessly left (and not just in the reserves). For now, the FordCons will settle for hanging on to the Soo for dear life. |
| 04/03/22 |
R.O.
24.146.13.249 |
| Michael Mantha has been mpp of this riding since 2011. Riding had been liberal and even pc years ago before he got elected . but likely riding stays ndp this year. |
| 11/06/21 |
99.226.172.248 |
| Should be an easy hold for the NDP. |
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