Windsor West

	Glovasky-Ridsdale, Krysta
	Gretzky, Lisa
	Griffin, Joshua
	Leontowicz, John
	Mccurdy, Linda L
	Palko, Jeremy

Incumbent:

		Lisa Gretzky
Population (2016):			122988
Population (2011):			118973
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
		LISA GRETZKY *
		20,276	52.12%
		ADAM IBRAHIM
		11,073	28.47%
		RINO BORTOLIN
		5,722	14.71%
		KRYSTA GLOVASKY-RIDSDALE
		1,393	3.58%
		CHAD DUROCHER
		435	1.12%
2014 Election Result: (Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
		14,001	38.54%
		5,225	14.38%
		15,043	41.41%
		1,171	3.22%
	OTHERS	891	2.45%
	Total Transposed		36,331
Component Riding(s)
	Windsor West (100.00% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
2021 Federal Election Prediction
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Brian Masse **
		20,800	40.00%
		Sandra Pupatello
		18,878	36.30%
		Henry Lau
		9,925	19.10%
		Quinn Hunt
		1,325	2.50%
		Darryl Burrell
		958	1.80%
		Margaret Villamizar
		76	0.10%
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Brian Masse **
		24,085	51.30%
		Dave Sundin
		11,842	25.20%
		Henry Lau
		9,734	20.80%
		Cora LaRussa
		1,083	2.30%
		Margaret Villamizar
		161	0.30%

	01/06/2022	C B 24.57.1.233
My riding here. Easy NDP hold. The Liberal brand is still toxic here. Voters still have Wynne on their minds. They will get more votes than in 2018, but will not come close to Pupatello’s vote total last fall federally. Anecdotal sign coverage confirms this. If just the signs voted, the NDP would win handily, with the Ontario Party coming in second, the PC’s third and the Liberals a ways back. Gretzky should have no problem.
	30/05/2022	Tony Ducey 24.137.72.105
Unlike the other Windsor riding I think this one will stay NDP and MPP Lisa Gretzky. I think it will take a truly great one to loosen the NDP's grip on this riding.
	23/05/2022	JonJenkins 170.52.121.182
The Liberals are trying another star candidate again, but Gretzky has been popular and being an opposition critic shows this riding is important to the NDP as well.
	28/04/22	LeftCoast 207.194.253.26
Unlike it's neighbour, this is a safe NDP seat and Lisa Gretzky will be easily returned.
	20/04/22	A.S. 99.225.52.35
The problem w/McCurdy is the party she's running for--that is, this cycle around, the Libs are coming from too far back, both provincially and locally. Even in '18, they ran a local-councillor "star candidate" to no avail (he got under 15%). I do agree that the Tories have an inherently lower ceiling here than in Windsor-Tecumseh, though (not being an open seat and being more inner-urban and middle-class-professional helps).
	28/03/22	R.O. 24.146.13.249
Lisa Gretzky was first elected here in 2014 , though the ndp had won here earlier but it stayed liberal in 2011 when Teresa Piruzza mpp for 1 term. It has been ndp federally since 2002 when Brian Masse first elected here. Was not aware liberal candidate Linda Mccurdy was related to the former ndp mp. number of ridings liberals likely to do better in but still behind the ndp , gap from past election just so big .
	27/03/22	seasaw 69.157.38.158
Some may think this is crazy,but I believe the Liberal candidate can overcome the nearly 40 point deficit and win this one. Gretzky hasn't been a great MPP, not saying she's been bad, but she's vulnerable, and the Liberal candidate is Linda McCurdy, the daughter of the late Howard McCurdy, the former NDP MP. She's got a very impressive resume and is a super star. Liberal gain
	18/06/21	JW 45.41.168.96
For the most part, Southwestern Ontario (other than KW/Tricities) will be two way fight between PC and NDP. Conservatives, both federally and provincially, have talked a big game about picking up blue-collour Windsor but have never came close. (Federally, it was the Liberal that made things competitive in 2019.) This is going to stay as part of the NDP base.