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Arnott, Ted |  |
Ballantyne, Diane |  |
Kahro, Ryan |  |
Kitras, Stephen |  |
Patava, Ron |  |
Takacs, Tom |
Incumbent:
| Ted Arnott |
Population (2016): |
120981 |
| Population (2011): | 115885 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
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| |  |
TED ARNOTT * |
| 31,659 | 54.00% |
|  |
DIANE BALLANTYNE |
| 14,087 | 24.03% |
|  |
JON HURST |
| 7,492 | 12.78% |
|  |
DAVE RODGERS |
| 5,066 | 8.64% |
|  |
JADON PFEIFFER |
| 320 | 0.55% |
2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
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|  |
14,120 | 29.32% |
|  |
22,450 | 46.61% |
|  |
6,804 | 14.13% |
|  |
3,550 | 7.37% |
| OTHERS |
1,241 | 2.58% |
| Total Transposed |
48,165 |
| Component Riding(s) |
| Wellington-Halton Hills
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
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2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
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|  |
Michael Chong ** |
| 33,044 | 47.40% |
|  |
Lesley Barron |
| 19,777 | 28.40% |
|  |
Ralph Martin |
| 8,851 | 12.70% |
|  |
Andrew Bascombe |
| 6,499 | 9.30% |
|  |
Syl Carle |
| 1,509 | 2.20% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
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|  |
Michael Chong ** |
| 32,482 | 50.90% |
|  |
Don Trant |
| 23,279 | 36.50% |
|  |
Anne Gajerski-Cauley |
| 5,321 | 8.30% |
|  |
Brent Allan Bouteiller |
| 2,547 | 4.00% |
|  |
Harvey Edward Anstey |
| 183 | 0.30% |
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| 30/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105 |
| 3 guarantees in life: Death, Taxes and Ted Arnott winning this riding. He'll continue his 32 year career as MPP on June 2 with another election win. |
| 29/05/2022 |
dtcaslick
74.12.184.254 |
| Ted Arnott will sleep-walk through this election, back to Queens Park unless the world turns upside down on Thursday. |
| 28/04/22 |
LeftCoast
207.194.253.26 |
| Ted Arnott will be easily re-elected in this safe PC seat. |
| 20/04/22 |
A.S.
99.225.52.35 |
| The riding that seems to float above all others in its Tory moderation, both federally under Mike Chong and provincially under Ted Arnott--it somehow seems fitting, in a "John Bercow" way, that he'd wind up Speaker. Or if he loses ground, it'll be token Liberal repatriation at the Halton Hills end. But much like UK Speakers, all other major party contenders might as well stand down on his behalf... |
| 08/03/22 |
AD
198.84.175.242 |
| Very likely conservative hold. Not enough has changed in this area to expect otherwise, as far as I can tell, and Arnott has all the usual advantages of an incumbent. |
 | 07/03/22 |
R.O.
24.146.13.249 |
| Ted Arnott has held this riding for a long time, he is also the speaker of the legislature. Tory friendly riding so likely to stay pc . |
| 18/06/21 |
JW
45.41.168.96 |
| For the most part, Southwestern Ontario (other than KW/Tricities) will be two way fight between PC and NDP. Rural SW has been realiable conservative territory both federally and provincially in the past 15 or so years. Speaker Arnott is well liked even by progressives, so I imagine his vote count would only go up. |
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