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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Brampton South


Prediction Changed
2022-03-05 13:55:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Barrett, Andria

Espinoza, Ines

Mol, Mike

Pakzad, Mehdi

Raphael, Marilyn

Sarkaria, Prabmeet Singh


Incumbent:
Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria

Population (2016):

121188
Population (2011):107364


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

PRABMEET SINGH SARKARIA
15,65241.01%
PARAMJIT GILL
12,91933.85%
SUKHWANT THETHI
7,21218.89%
LINDSAY FALT
1,4723.86%
BRIAN WATSON
3630.95%
JOHN GRANT
3370.88%
TED HARLSON
2140.56%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

13,387 44.69%
7,792 26.01%
6,562 21.91%
930 3.11%
OTHERS 1,284 4.29%
Total Transposed 29,956
      Component Riding(s)

Brampton West
(89.21% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Mississauga-Brampton South
(10.79% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Sonia Sidhu **
24,08549.50%
Ramandeep Brar
13,82828.40%
Mandeep Kaur
7,98516.40%
Karen Fraser
1,9264.00%
Rajwinder Ghuman
3540.70%
Wavey Mercer
2850.60%
Mitesh Joshi
1520.30%
Dagmar Sullivan
680.10%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Sonia Sidhu
23,68152.10%
Kyle Seeback **
15,92935.00%
Amarjit Sangha
4,84310.70%
Shaun Hatton
1,0112.20%


 

25/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.73.188
I think the PC's will hold on here on election night. Their incumbent MPP here seems to be quite visible which always counts.
27/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
Although this is the type of seat I could see the Liberals grabbing if they do manage to supplant the PCs at the provincial level, for the moment I see it remaing with the PC's Prabmeet Sarkaria, an active MPP and cabinet minister.
11/04/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
It took a while, but Prabmeet became Doug Ford's ethnoburban-Peel point man in cabinet--though it doesn't necessarily make him a "designated survivor" among the BrampMiss PC caucus, mainly because both Libs and NDP are arguably coming from too far back. I mean, Charles Sousa had better claim to designated-survivordom among the OLP caucus in '18. Of course, within Brampton itself, he's the only Tory to win by more than a hair in '18, and represents the only Brampton riding which would have notionally put the PCs in 2nd in '14--but because it's Brampton in '18, the NDP still put in a credible run, though it'd take the authentic prospect of Premier Horwath to push them across the finish line now. So Prabmeet is the *likeliest* survivor within Brampton, and in a way that's rather "duh". However, "designated survivor" within *all* of urban Peel would be like branding him the William Grenville Davis Memorial Candidate; and that's a little overwrought...
24/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Prabmeet Sarkaria was first elected here in 2018 , risen in profile since at queens park and found his way into cabinet. This riding could become more competitive in the future but writing this prediction based on this election and current political landscape. New ndp candidate is Andria Barrett and new liberal candidate is Marilyn Raphael.
01/03/22 Finn
72.138.106.30
I believe all of Brampton will be a battleground on election night and I believe this riding will be no different. All three major parties should be relevant in this race on election night, with all three of them having roots in Brampton. With that being said, with rising Liberal support and the NDP still being relevant, it is not hard to see the path to re-election for Prabmeet Sarkaria. The most likely scenario in my opinion is that a vote split between the Liberals and the NDP allow a PC victory on election night.
19/06/21 EP
45.41.168.91
One of the very few bright light in the Ford cabinet, with a well-deserved promotion into a powerful portfolio (though low profile, not exactly a prize in election year. If
Ford lose government Sarkaria may very well be the designated survivor in Peel.



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