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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Timiskaming-Cochrane


Prediction Changed
2021-06-30 17:45:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Aitchison, Geoffrey

Andrade, Garry

Cummings, Eric

Foy, Bill

Johnson, Brian

Rivard, Kris

Vanthof, John

Wilkinson, Jeff


Incumbent:
John Vanthof

Population (2016):

Population (2011):67290


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

JOHN VANTHOF *
16,80661.20%
MARGARET WILLIAMS
6,16022.43%
BRIAN A. JOHNSON
2,4769.02%
SHAWN POIRIER
1,1054.02%
CASEY LALONDE
7232.63%
LAWRENCE SCHNARR
1910.70%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

6,134 23.21%
4,527 17.13%
14,661 55.48%
489 1.85%
OTHERS 615 2.33%
Total Transposed 26,426
      Component Riding(s)

Nipissing-Timiskaming
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Anthony Rota **
19,35240.50%
Jordy Carr
12,98427.20%
Rob Boulet
9,78420.50%
Alex Gomm
3,1116.50%
Mark King
2,4965.20%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Anthony Rota
25,35751.90%
Jay Aspin **
14,32529.30%
Kathleen Jodouin
7,93616.20%
Nicole Peltier
1,2572.60%


 

01/06/2022 NJam101
216.167.228.27
Vanthof will win again but it will be closer than last with as the PC vote is likely to increase a fair amount.
30/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
Should be one of the easiest NDP holds on June 2.The Liberal MPP for this riding prior to John Vanthof started his time as MPP as a NDP MPP>
28/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
Safe NDP seat, John Vanthof will be back in.
21/04/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
It's hard to use federal barometers here because 3 different federal seats occupy this territory--and perhaps that "non-comparability" is Vanthof's saving grace, enough for him to project an impression of invincibility. However, given its various components, historical patterns, and federal trending (and a certain tendency t/w dissident forces such as CoR, the NOP, and PPC), if the seat were to become open I can definitely see it targeted by the PCs as part of their eye t/w conquesting the North. But the seat's not open.
20/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
John Vanthof was first elected here in 2011 , and re elected in the years since. This riding no longer exists federally but has lived on provincially for various reasons. Its likely to stay ndp . William Foy is the new pc candidate and no liberal yet.
04/06/21
208.97.85.106
John Vanthof should hold this seat for the NDP by a healthy margin. (When it comes to Hardemans I'd take John over uncle Ernie any day)



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