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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Thunder Bay-Atikokan


Prediction Changed
2021-06-30 17:45:55
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Comuzzi, Maureen

Monteith-Farrell, Judith


Incumbent:
Judith Monteith-Farrell

Population (2016):

Population (2011):75920


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

JUDITH MONTEITH-FARRELL
11,79336.26%
BILL MAURO *
11,71236.01%
BRANDON POSTUMA
7,55523.23%
JOHN NORTHEY
8802.71%
DAVID BRUNO
4691.44%
DOROTHY SNELL
1160.36%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

15,176 52.98%
3,779 13.19%
8,052 28.11%
964 3.37%
OTHERS 676 2.36%
Total Transposed 28,647
      Component Riding(s)

Thunder Bay-Atikokan
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Marcus Powlowski
14,49835.30%
Linda Rydholm
12,03929.30%
Yuk-Sem Won
11,94429.10%
Amanda Moddejonge
1,8294.50%
Andrew Hartnell
7411.80%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Don Rusnak
18,52344.00%
John Rafferty **
12,48329.70%
Moe Comuzzi
8,87621.10%
Christy Radbourne
2,2015.20%


 

06/07/2021 Jonathan
161.69.123.10
Depending on the liberal candidate this is a clear pickup for the liberals. Last election Bill Mauro had one of the best showings for the party and this would have been an easy win if not for the weight of Kathleen Wynne saying the party was going to lose the election a week before election day. That resulted in the union support going all to the NDP to try and stop the conservatives. If Mauro were to run again this is an easy liberal pickup against an NDP candidate with not a lot to show for her time in office.
19/06/21 1 EP
45.41.168.91
The Liberals may or may not have a come back, may or may not be stuck at third place, but I don't think any objective observers would predict them to be stuck at 8 seats. Even in worst case scenario, they are going to pick up a handful. Mauro, now the mayor, managed to secure the second highest percentage among all the defeated Liberals. This ought to be a must win for them if they are to win even 15 or 20 seats.
03/06/21 0 JBee
216.26.216.193
This is my home riding, and it's way too early to call. Monteith-Farrell barely defeated a Liberal incumbent by 81 votes in 2018, but she does have the incumbent advantage. It all depends on who the Liberals nominate, and if they're carrying momentum into election day. This riding could flop either way.



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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022
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