Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry


Prediction Changed
2021-08-14 12:27:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Gardner, Kirsten J.

Milner, Jacqueline

Quinn, Nolan

Stephen, Wendy

Tardif, Claude

Tremblay, Remi


Incumbent:
Jim Mcdonell

Population (2016):

103320
Population (2011):100913


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

JIM MCDONELL *
26,78061.51%
MARC BENOIT
9,41621.63%
HEATHER MEGILL
5,38612.37%
ELAINE KENNEDY
1,5963.67%
SABILE TRIMM
3600.83%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

9,250 23.20%
20,624 51.72%
8,336 20.90%
1,067 2.68%
OTHERS 602 1.51%
Total Transposed 39,879
      Component Riding(s)

Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Eric Duncan
28,97653.90%
Heather Megill
13,76725.60%
Kelsey Catherine Schmitz
7,67414.30%
Raheem Aman
2,1264.00%
Sabile Trimm
1,1682.20%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Guy Lauzon **
27,09151.10%
Bernadette Clement
20,45238.50%
Patrick Burger
4,3328.20%
Elaine Kennedy
1,1912.20%


 

30/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
When doing research into this riding I saw that part of the area went Liberal during the Harris years, thought that interesting. Anyway here in 2022 I have the PC's holding the riding with new candidate, Nolan Quinn.
28/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
Safe PC seat where the party's nomination is probably more the real contest. Nolan Quinn will replace Jim McDonnell.
17/04/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Here's one case where Tory incumbent retirement doesn't presage annihilation in the upcoming election, unless Lib/NDP forces have some kind of massive Cornwall-centric strategy afoot--and given results in the increasingly not-so-recent past, why *shouldn't* they have had some kind of strategy in place? As it stands, Cornwall is simply prepped to be Ontario's last Tory-represented over-40,000 urban centre standing; and as an induced condition due to everything that surrounds it. (At least that, much as in the Prairies, there's the Mayoral office to let out one's "progressive" id when parliament won't cut it, as former-Mayor-now-Senator Bernadette Clement proves.)
25/02/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Longtime mpp Jim Mcdonnell announced his retirement a few months back , pc?€™s have yet to select a new candidate. This riding was open federally in 2019 and stayed cpc when Eric Duncan first elected. So is likely to stay pc unless it turns out to be more competitive than federal riding was.
02/08/21 Sam
92.40.109.147
I'm surprised this is yet to be called but this riding has been Tory for a while now with big margins, 61% last time. No chance the Tories lose it while they're still in contention for government as the polls suggest.



Navigate to Ontario 2022 Home | Regional Index | Submission

Ontario Provincial Election - 2022
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2022 | www.electionprediction.org | Email Webmaster