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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Ajax


Prediction Changed
2021-08-14 12:25:07
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Phillips, Rod


Incumbent:
Rod Phillips

Population (2016):

119677
Population (2011):109600


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

ROD PHILLIPS
19,07839.05%
MONIQUE HUGHES
15,13030.97%
JOE DICKSON *
12,60725.80%
STEPHEN LEAHY
1,2242.51%
MARSHA HAYNES
3120.64%
FRANK LOPEZ
2890.59%
KEVIN J. BRACKLEY
2200.45%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

20,825 51.77%
11,471 28.52%
6,544 16.27%
1,174 2.92%
OTHERS 214 0.53%
Total Transposed 40,229
      Component Riding(s)

Ajax-Pickering
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Mark Holland **
35,19857.70%
Tom Dingwall
15,86426.00%
Shokat Malik
7,03311.50%
Maia Knight
2,0403.30%
Susanna Russo
5881.00%
Allen Keith Hadley
1860.30%
Intab Ali
1110.20%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Mark Holland
31,45855.90%
Chris Alexander **
19,37434.40%
Stephanie Brown
4,6308.20%
Jeff Hill
7881.40%
Bob Kesic
570.10%


 

09/08/2021 Sam Beesley
92.40.94.76
Bizarre that this riding, that is one of the most vulnerable PC ridings, would be considered safe for the PCs - I'd say it's the most vulnerable of the four Durham ridings they hold. And one of the PC's greatest assets, the star quality of Rod Phillips, has all but evaporated now following his conduct issues. I have no doubt the Liberals will target this and I'd tip them to jump from third to first, but for now, judging it to be a three way race seems wise.
03/08/2021 An informed Voter
74.12.27.35
Note above that comment needs to be fact checked. Please advise when and where Mr Phillips was supposed to have made that statement that he was not running in 2022. I think you are just spreading false hopes that you might have. He has never said that and he WILL be running for the PC's in the 2022 election Sorry spreader of false information
01/07/2021 KXS
99.247.130.189
Not sure why this riding is currently projected for the PCs.
Rod Phillips received less than 40% of the vote last year under more favourable conditions. His only path to re-election is through a perfect split of the progressive vote.
10/06/21 2 Chris N
24.36.32.209
After the COVID vacation scandal, Rod Phillips stated that the will not run again in 2022. With his vacancy, I anticipate the NDP and Liberals see this as a possible pick-up.



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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022
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