Dhaliwal, Sukh
	Hundal, Parveer
	Johal, Avneet
	Mohsin, Syed
	Singh, Pamela
Incumbent:
	Sukh Dhaliwal

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			114605 105183 35942 33667 30.04 km² 3815.40/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Sukh Dhaliwal **	18960	45.00%
	Harjit Singh Gill	12306	29.20%
	Harpreet Singh	8824	21.00%
	Rabaab Khehra	1355	3.20%
	Holly Verchère	653	1.60%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Sukh Dhaliwal	24869	56.00%
	Jinny Sims **	11602	26.10%
	Harpreet Singh	6978	15.70%
	Pamela Sangha	975	2.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		8903	27.42%
		11457	35.28%
		11068	34.09%
		844	2.60%
Other		199	0.61%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Newton-North Delta    (67.09% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Fleetwood-Port Kells    (27.04% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Surrey North    (5.87% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	25/08/21	A.S. 45.41.168.91
Actually, as convenient as comparisons to the GTA's Liberal ethnoburbia might be, there's something quite exceptional about the Sukh Dhaliwal Liberal machine, even if it helped seed subsequent Grit support in Surrey--well, there *had to be*, for him to survive 2008 and nearly 2011 as well. Though unlike Surrey Centre, the NDP *did* gain share here in 2019, and it was now *their* best Surrey riding as well (yet here, too, the Cons were bigger gainers). Not enough to deny Dhaliwal having the top Lib share in BC--though that '19's BC ceiling was only 45% for the Libs ought to come as a warning. *Maybe* he's not so invulnerable--or at least, more conventionally vulnerable--in the long term.
	22/08/21	Sam 188.29.158.34
Yeah, it's hard to understate how much the 2011 win for the NDP was mostly a lucky win following the Liberal collapse that year - and barring a similar one it's hard to see Sukh Dhaliwal, by all means a well-known and proven standard bearer, being defeated. No different from some of the other South Asian ridings which have shown vulnerability to the CPC and NDP, such as those in Brampton, but have ultimately piled on the votes for the Liberals.
	30/06/21	Negative Inference 45.41.168.91
Sukh Dhaliwal is arguably the safest Liberal MP in Surrey. He has the most political experience (not just by tenure in parliament) and is most organized politically. The NDP (the primary rival here) would likely target nearby seats and not this one, so expect Dhaliwal to return with little difficulies.