Election Prediction Project

Skeena-Bulkley Valley
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-24 14:16:31

Constituency Profile


Bachrach, Taylor

Craven, Jody

Jhaj, Lakhwinder

Rattee, Claire

Taylor, Rod

Young, Adeana


Taylor Bachrach

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



326290.40 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Taylor Bachrach 1694440.90%
Claire Rattée 1375633.20%
Dave Birdi 479311.60%
Mike Sawyer 32807.90%
Rod Taylor 13503.30%
Jody Craven 9402.30%
Danny Nunes 1640.40%
Merv Ritchie 1570.40%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Nathan Cullen ** 2253151.10%
Tyler Nesbitt 1093624.80%
Brad Layton 825718.70%
Jeannie Parnell 16053.60%
Don Spratt 7801.80%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 12083.41%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Skeena-Bulkley Valley
   (99.35% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Cariboo-Prince George
   (0.65% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

25/08/21 A.S.
At this point SBV is too much NDP ‘holy land’ for me to entertain a non-prediction; all the same, Nathan Cullen's departure definitely left a dangerous vacuum, so now it's more akin to the northward Vancouver Island ridings in relative Dipper vs Con strength. And what's definitely interesting is that '19's left-field alternative-culture-Conservative (*not* to be confused with ‘alt-right’) is running again--a *real* test of Erin O'Toole's ‘modernizing’ impulses, if ever there was one...
25/08/21 R.O.
Taylor Bachrach was first elected in 2019 as he replaced long time mp Nathan Cullen . he’s not especially well known mp but riding has deep ndp roots and Singh is better known in BC now. Clare Rattee is back as the cpc candidate and did better than expected here in 2019. Feel the riding is more likely to stay ndp than go cpc but will hold off on an official prediction.
22/05/21 ME
This riding is a safe NDP riding according to 338
This seat should go NDP by a healthy margin.

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