Bellay, Nicole
	Grewal, Geet
	Niles, Tyler
	Perrin, Lynn
	Vis, Brad
Incumbent:
	Brad Vis

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			94825 90616 36103 32544 21350.11 km² 4.40/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Brad Vis	19535	42.40%
	Jati Sidhu **	12299	26.70%
	Michael Nenn	8089	17.60%
	John Kidder	5019	10.90%
	Julius Nick Csaszar	1055	2.30%
	Elaine Wismer	69	0.10%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Jati Sidhu	16625	37.20%
	Brad Vis	15587	34.90%
	Dennis Adamson	9174	20.50%
	Arthur Alexander Green	2293	5.10%
	Wyatt Scott	914	2.00%
	Elaine Wismer	58	0.10%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		18329	54.49%
		10769	32.01%
		2827	8.40%
		1560	4.64%
Other		153	0.45%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge-Mission    (41.42% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Abbotsford    (33.14% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon    (25.44% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	25/08/21	A.S. 45.41.168.91
A bizarrely-configured riding resulted in a bizarre result in '15, where Mission moderation and Abbotsford ethnoburbia made the difference--'19 ‘corrected’ that, though not without its own bizarreness, particularly in the interior--for one, the Lytton-centric polling block played out as a Green vs NDP 2-way, w/Green ahead. (The present Lytton circumstance applying a layer of irony to that outcome, of course.) The ‘corrected’ status quo will likely hold, largely because it's the Mission-Matsqui part that rules the electoral narrative, not the Fraser Canyon part. And it's noteworthy that unlike in '19, Mr. Elizabeth May is *not* contesting the seat.
	23/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Historically conservative area of BC although this riding in its current boundaries has only existed since 2015 and it went liberal that year although easily returned to the cpc in 2019. when Brad Vis first elected as mp.
	30/07/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
Brad Vis is a likeable, young CPC MP and has done well in the shadow cabinet. I don't see much difficulty on his part to hold this traditionally conservative suburban/exurban seat.
	21/07/21	Thomas K 24.85.228.170
The Liberals only barely won here in 2015 during Trudeaumania. It is highly unlikely they will be able to close the 7000 vote gap with the Conservatives here, although it may be slightly closer than it was in 2019, especially since the environment may become more of a main issue here with the heat wave and fire in Lytton, etc.
	21/07/21	Thomas K 24.85.228.170
The Liberals only barely won here in 2015 during Trudeaumania. It is highly unlikely they will be able to close the 7000 vote gap with the Conservatives here, although it may be slightly closer than it was in 2019, especially since the environment may become more of a main issue here with the heat wave and fire in Lytton, etc.