DeLong, Alana
	Hecht, Mark
	Herbert, Blair
	MacGregor, Alistair
	Versaevel, Lia
Incumbent:
	Alistair MacGregor

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			108052 99195 47717 44616 4556.78 km² 23.70/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Alistair MacGregor **	23519	36.10%
	Alana DeLong	16959	26.00%
	Lydia Hwitsum	13181	20.20%
	Blair Herbert	10301	15.80%
	Rhonda Chen	1066	1.60%
	Robin Morton Stanbridge	202	0.30%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Alistair MacGregor	22200	35.90%
	Luke Krayenhoff	14685	23.80%
	Martin Barker	14091	22.80%
	Fran Hunt-Jinnouchi	10462	16.90%
	Alastair Haythornthwaite	340	0.60%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		20567	43.06%
		20818	43.59%
		2774	5.81%
		3454	7.23%
Other		153	0.32%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Nanaimo-Cowichan    (67.97% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca    (32.03% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	06/09/21	Thomas K 24.85.228.170
With the Greens falling apart, the NDP will further their stranglehold over the Vancouver Island ridings.
	26/08/21	Walnut 184.66.107.187
This should be a competitive race but it is not. Coastal communities crave Green sensibilities and Langford is booming with new suburban developments benefiting from the Liberal's housing initiatives (e.g. first-time home-buyers incentives, low interest rates). But MacGregor dominates the field. He is not very exciting but his experience and professionalism show. Until the other parties can nominate more exciting candidates, the NDP with MacGregor will win here.
	25/08/21	A.S. 45.41.168.91
Given the low winning share, might be inside-out calling this and not Courtenay-Alberni for the Dippers; however, CPC is weaker, and Green *was* (note past tense) stronger. And Liberal inherently stronger, too, particularly out suburban Langford way. So my rationale is: Courtenay's binary, Cowichan's opposition-fragmented.
	04/08/21	207.194.253.26
Easy NDP win, despite a pretty low-profile incumbent in Alistair MacGregor. Both BC NDP leader (and Premier) John Horgan and BC Green leader Sonia Furstenau are Mr. MacGregor's constituents, but the Greens will have a hard-time building momentum to be competitive here, especially with the latest leadership drama as well as the riding containing decidedly 'un-Green' communities such as Langford. This historically NDP riding will stay in their column.
	22/05/21	ME 45.72.200.7
This riding is a safe NDP seat according to 338