Fast, Ed
	Fowler, Stephen
	Gill, Navreen
	Sinclair, Kevin
	yakandawela, dharmasena
Incumbent:
	Ed Fast

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			101814 97076 39859 37878 175.34 km² 580.70/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Ed Fast **	25162	51.40%
	Seamus Heffernan	10560	21.60%
	Madeleine Sauve	8257	16.90%
	Stephen Fowler	3702	7.60%
	Locke Duncan	985	2.00%
	Aeriol Alderking	270	0.60%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Ed Fast **	23229	48.30%
	Peter Njenga	15777	32.80%
	Jen Martel	6593	13.70%
	Stephen Fowler	2416	5.00%
	David MacKay	109	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		25059	66.88%
		7210	19.24%
		3258	8.70%
		1744	4.65%
Other		195	0.52%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Abbotsford    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	25/08/21	A.S. 45.41.168.91
The ‘subsumed by the Vancouver orbit’ element includes a Lib-leaning ethnoburban aspect, particularly in the Townline Hill area to the W. Let's face it, the glory days of Abbotsford as some kind of unbreachable Fraser Valley Bible Belt metropolis are long past, it's still Conservative but ‘diversifying’, and both of its provincial BC Liberal seats were won with less than 10-point margins last time around. Yet let's *also* face it; after losing it in '15, the Cons reattained their majority in '19--the only other BC CPC majorities being the Prince George pair. So for now, Conservative is a good, sturdy, sensible big-tent parking lot, maybe in more of an ‘urban Albertan’ way than a Jesusland way at this point. (And besides, more of that Abbotsford Lib-ethnoburbia alluded to in Townline Hill is N of the riding boundary: it's what unexpectedly propelled MMFC into the Liberal column in '15.)
	19/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Ed Fast has been mp of this riding since 2006 in what is a long time conservative area of BC and would expect that to continue .
	27/07/21	LeftCoast 207.194.253.26
One of the safest Tory seats in B.C., with a popular and high-profile incumbent to boot. Easy Conservative hold.
	28/06/21	Lolitha 161.184.30.62
Both 338 and Leantossup have Abbotsford as a safe Con seat (99% plus probability), so it seems reasonable to start with that!
	25/06/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
If I'm not mistaken, this was the Alliance's best BC seat in 2000 (on par with rural Alberta, never mind Calgary) and one of the best throughout the Harper era. Since then it has been subsumed by the Vancouver orbit, similar to Barrie/Orillia in relation to Toronto. We're probably still 10 years away from it being a potential battleground if the current trajectory continues.