Dunham, Jeff
	Lloyd, Dane
	MacKinnon, Murray
	Mills, Kendra
	Walker, Irene
	Willerton, Jeffrey
Incumbent:
	Dane Lloyd

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			120784 105733 46387 43471 3982.27 km² 30.30/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Dane Lloyd **	53235	77.50%
	Guy Desforges	6940	10.10%
	Ronald Brochu	4696	6.80%
	Cass Romyn	1745	2.50%
	Tyler Beauchamp	1625	2.40%
	Ernest Chauvet	416	0.60%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Rona Ambrose **	43220	70.20%
	Travis Dueck	9586	15.60%
	Guy Desforges	6166	10.00%
	Brendon Greene	1875	3.00%
	Ernest Chauvet	690	1.10%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		33789	77.49%
		5657	12.97%
		2385	5.47%
		1742	3.99%
Other		35	0.08%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Edmonton-Spruce Grove    (60.22% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Westlock-St. Paul    (34.83% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Yellowhead    (4.95% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	23/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
I saw this as being a likelier Rona-esque 70% than a byelection-esque 77%--how wrong I was; but then again, few saw the scale of Scheer sectionalism coming. And as it stands, 77.5% was ‘weak’ even by '19 rural Alberta standards (outside of Calg/Edm/Leth, the only seat to do worse was Banff-Airdrie).
	23/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Dane Lloyd was first elected in a by election in 2017 and not a high profile mp. but a long time conservative riding in alberta so likely to stay cpc.
	11/05/21	VotreChoix 149.202.238.204
Rural Alberta seat so safe CPC for now unless Mavericks/PPC start making momentum.