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Lakeland
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-05 13:06:19
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Bissonnette, Des

Brunner, Kira

McCormack, Ann

Sirett, Fred

Stubbs, Shannon

Turvey, John


Incumbent:

Shannon Stubbs

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

108451
104616

50340
41285

31324.35 km²
3.50/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Shannon Stubbs ** 4831483.90%
Jeffrey Swanson 37286.50%
Mark Watson 25654.50%
Alain Houle 14682.50%
Kira Brunner 11051.90%
Robert McFadzean 2510.40%
Roberta Marie Graham 1470.30%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Shannon Stubbs 3988272.80%
Garry Parenteau 750013.70%
Duane Zaraska 551310.10%
Danielle Montgomery 12832.30%
Robert George McFadzean 6011.10%


2011 Results (redistributed)

3252778.98%
462311.23%
21015.10%
17394.22%
Other 1910.46%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Vegreville-Wainwright
   (52.79% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Westlock-St. Paul
   (35.43% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Fort McMurray-Athabasca
   (11.78% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


23/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
A seat in something of a 3-way-tie for 2nd among AltaCon seats (they all got 83.9-84.0% of the vote. Somehow, it seems least likely to be ‘Mavericked’ of the lot--maybe because the Yellowhead corridor E of Edmonton still seems imbued with a touch of ‘Mazankowski moderation’.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Rural Alberta seat so safe CPC for now unless Mavericks/PPC start making momentum.
05/05/21 JW
45.41.168.96
Still early, and a lot can change, but the Prime Minister will not have to worry about his own seat.



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