Election Prediction Project

Calgary Heritage
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:48:09

Constituency Profile


Bedard, Bailey

Benzen, Bob

Dejewski, Mark

Forsyth, Scott

Freeman, Annelise

Johnson, Kathleen M.

Labell, Malka


Bob Benzen

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



66.93 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Bob Benzen ** 4081770.70%
Scott Forsyth 805714.00%
Holly Heffernan 52789.10%
Allie Tulick 20273.50%
Stephanie Hoeppner 11231.90%
Hunter Mills 2280.40%
Larry R. Heather 1850.30%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Stephen J. Harper ** 3726363.80%
Brendan Miles 1517226.00%
Matt Masters Burgener 42557.30%
Kelly Christie 12462.10%
Steven Paolasini 2460.40%
Larry R. Heather 1140.20%
Korry Zepik 730.10%
Nicolas Duchastel de Montrouge 610.10%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 2560.55%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Calgary Southwest
   (98.84% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Calgary Southeast
   (1.16% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

23/08/21 A.S.
Seriously; it'd be an earthquake if generic Albertan Conservative swoon wound up claiming Preston Harper's longtime stronghold--stick with the centre-to-Skyview arc when it comes to prospective Ca;lgary gains. Heck, a submajority victory would be earthquake enough; but, a victory's a victory. (Of course, this territory would have given the NDP a provincial plurality in '15, and might well do so next time at this rate, even though it contains most of Jason Kenney's present riding.)
17/08/21 R.O.
Bob Benzen a rather low profile mp compared to this ridings former mp who was PM . but its suburban Calgary and been conservative for years .
11/05/21 VotreChoix
Suburban Calgary seat which has been safe for the Conservatives for decades. Don't see that changing this election.

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