Bliss, Orrin
	Bridges, Jonathan
	Lipp, Tom
	MacLean, Michael
	Shawile, Getu
	Shields, Martin
Incumbent:
	Martin Shields

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			115022 103871 41278 38486 24036.47 km² 4.80/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Martin Shields **	46279	83.90%
	Margaret Rhemtulla	3173	5.80%
	Lynn Macwilliam	3086	5.60%
	Tom Ikert	1321	2.40%
	Hendrika Maria Tuithof de Jonge	826	1.50%
	Tom Lipp	453	0.80%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Martin Shields	38701	77.40%
	William MacDonald Alexander	6840	13.70%
	Lynn MacWilliam	2622	5.20%
	Rita Ann Fromholt	919	1.80%
	Andrew Kucy	543	1.10%
	Frans VandeStroet	280	0.60%
	Fahed Khalid	83	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		30412	83.39%
		2975	8.16%
		1291	3.54%
		1244	3.41%
Other		547	1.50%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Crowfoot    (51.52% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Medicine Hat    (38.94% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Macleod    (9.54% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	23/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
I did previously observe how greater-Calgary ‘Skyview spillover’ pushed the Lib vote in Conrich to 40%+ in '15. The equivalent territory in '19 put the Libs in high 20s and NDP in mid-teens. Of course, most of the rest is nuclear Con as one'd expect, and probably poised for Maverick poaching so it won't be *quite* so nuclear. (But not and likely never a clean polling sweep, thanks to the Siksika reserve.)
	11/05/21	VotreChoix 149.202.238.204
Rural Alberta seat so safe CPC for now unless Mavericks/PPC start making momentum.
	05/05/21	JW 45.41.168.96
Montreal West Island constituencies are generally reliably Liberal.