Election Prediction Project

Battle River-Crowfoot
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-05 13:05:43

Constituency Profile


Brisbin, Daniel

Golka, Jeff

Irwin, John

Kurek, Damien

McLeod, Leah Diane

Ratushniak, Tonya

Trepanier, Dennis


Damien Kurek

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



51977.75 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Damien Kurek 5330985.50%
Natasha Fryzuk 31855.10%
Dianne Clarke 25574.10%
Geordie Nelson 16892.70%
David A. Michaud 16202.60%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Kevin Sorenson ** 4755280.90%
Andy Kowalski 55059.40%
Katherine Swampy 38446.50%
Gary Kelly 18683.20%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 4861.02%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (65.87% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (33.61% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Medicine Hat
   (0.5% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (0.02% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

09/09/21 R.O.
Damien Kurek was first elected here in 2019 with 85 % of the vote. Doubt it will be that high this year as there is vote splitting on the right with Maverick party and Peoples party but will stay cpc .
23/08/21 A.S.
Yes, the nearest opponent only got a bit over 5%. But you can say this much: with the presumed rise of Maverick, gone *might* be the days when we speak of this as the strongest Con riding--or strongest riding of *any* persuasion--in the country. (And as a how-far-can-they-go barometer: this is the kind of country that gave Reform something like 1/3 of the vote in 1988.)
29/06/21 Lolitha
Most conservative riding in the country by the percentage of the vote in 2019 (85.5%), safest of safe seats.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
Rural Alberta seat so safe CPC for now unless Mavericks/PPC start making momentum.
05/05/21 JW
Montreal West Island constituencies are generally reliably Liberal. This seat even withheld the 2011 Orange Crush. Not going to flip in this election.

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