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Battle River-Crowfoot
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-05 13:05:43
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Brisbin, Daniel

Golka, Jeff

Irwin, John

Kurek, Damien

McLeod, Leah Diane

Ratushniak, Tonya

Trepanier, Dennis


Incumbent:

Damien Kurek

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

110223
107140

47750
43129

51977.75 km²
2.10/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Damien Kurek 5330985.50%
Natasha Fryzuk 31855.10%
Dianne Clarke 25574.10%
Geordie Nelson 16892.70%
David A. Michaud 16202.60%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Kevin Sorenson ** 4755280.90%
Andy Kowalski 55059.40%
Katherine Swampy 38446.50%
Gary Kelly 18683.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

3964683.09%
46949.84%
10272.15%
18593.90%
Other 4861.02%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Crowfoot
   (65.87% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Vegreville-Wainwright
   (33.61% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Medicine Hat
   (0.5% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Wetaskiwin
   (0.02% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


09/09/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Damien Kurek was first elected here in 2019 with 85 % of the vote. Doubt it will be that high this year as there is vote splitting on the right with Maverick party and Peoples party but will stay cpc .
23/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Yes, the nearest opponent only got a bit over 5%. But you can say this much: with the presumed rise of Maverick, gone *might* be the days when we speak of this as the strongest Con riding--or strongest riding of *any* persuasion--in the country. (And as a how-far-can-they-go barometer: this is the kind of country that gave Reform something like 1/3 of the vote in 1988.)
29/06/21 Lolitha
161.184.30.62
Most conservative riding in the country by the percentage of the vote in 2019 (85.5%), safest of safe seats.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Rural Alberta seat so safe CPC for now unless Mavericks/PPC start making momentum.
05/05/21 JW
45.41.168.96
Montreal West Island constituencies are generally reliably Liberal. This seat even withheld the 2011 Orange Crush. Not going to flip in this election.



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