Election Prediction Project

Prince Albert
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:44:52

Constituency Profile


Graham, Hamish

Hjertaas, Estelle

Hoback, Randy

MacDougall, Ken

McCrea, Joseph

Schmitt, Heather


Randy Hoback

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



18916.36 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Randy Hoback ** 2689167.70%
Harmony Johnson-Harder 692517.40%
Estelle Hjertaas 410710.30%
Kerri Wall 8392.10%
Kelly Day 7782.00%
Brian Littlepine 1700.40%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Randy Hoback ** 1967349.80%
Lon Borgerson 1124428.50%
Gordon Kirkby 783219.80%
Byron Tenkink 7611.90%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 1420.43%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Prince Albert
   (93.54% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (3.43% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River
   (2.39% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (0.64% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

21/08/21 R.O.
Randy Hoback has been mp since 2008 , this has been a long time conservative riding although not entirely rural as it includes city of Prince Albert . but likely to stay cpc.
21/08/21 A.S.
Btw/its containing Sask's present-day ‘third city’ and its being far enough north so that ‘reserves matter’, Prince Albert's the Con-weakest non-Regina/Saskatoon/far-north-centric seat in the province--and in '19's climate, that still wasn't enough for under 2/3 of the vote. And given the present-day nature of the party, *don't* assume that ‘somewhere up there, Dief is smiling’. Of course, the usual caveat about breakaway right-wing parties and token NDP comebacking leading to a potential return to CPC non-majority days--though in the aftermath of the provincial party's post-Romanow/Calvert attrition, it'd seem that the days of the NDP doing a reasonable facsimile of Prince Albert supertargeting are long behind us.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
Rural riding in Saskatchewan, should be safe CPC barring a surge from the Mavericks or PPC.

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