Election Prediction Project

Cypress Hills-Grasslands
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:44:52

Constituency Profile


Hird, Mackenzie

Hislop, Charles Reginald

Lewans, Maria Rose

McPhee, Alex

Patzer, Jeremy

Skagen, Mark

Vandale, Carol


Jeremy Patzer

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



75884.34 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Jeremy Patzer 3114081.10%
Trevor Peterson 36669.50%
William Caton 15954.20%
Lee Harding 10752.80%
Bill Clary 7191.90%
Maria Lewans 2200.60%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

David Anderson ** 2505069.20%
Marvin Wiens 538114.90%
Trevor Peterson 478313.20%
William Caton 9932.70%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Cypress Hills-Grasslands
   (87.5% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (9.28% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (3.22% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

31/08/21 R.O.
Jeremy Patzer was first elected in 2019 so not that well known but riding is a long time conservative riding in rural Saskatchewan so likely cpc .
21/08/21 A.S.
It figures that this'd be one of those ridings where CPC crossed the 80% threshold in '19--and given patterns elsewhere that year, 81% might even seem a bit *low*. And it could lose a Keyes Constant share of that vote to Maverick and still be in majority territory. A reflection of how universally and monolithically things have shifted in the CPC direction: Caronport, which the Christian-centric Briercrest College long made a spot of nuclear Con support, is now actually slightly *below* riding par for the Cons.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
Rural riding in Saskatchewan, should be safe CPC barring a surge from the Mavericks or PPC.

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