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Agboola, Shola | |
Anderson, Scott A A | |
Berthiaume, Denis | |
Boudreault, Jean-Denis | |
CoRhino, Sébastien | |
Correia, Matthew | |
Crisostomo, Naomi | |
Currie, Charles | |
Desbiens, Manon Lili | |
Engering, Alexandra | |
Falkingham, Scott | |
Hildebrandt, Kerri | |
Huard, Ryan | |
Lukawski, Conrad | |
MacDiarmid, Jane | |
Poliquin, Laurent | |
Rosenblum, Eliana | |
Strzalkowski, Patrick | |
Szuchewycz, Tomas | |
Vandal, Dan | |
Waters, Meghan | Incumbent:
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| Dan Vandal |
References:
Population (2016): Population (2011):Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density |
89818 8435338909 37674 63.43 km² 1416.00/km² |
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
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| Dan Vandal ** |
20300 | 42.90% |
| Rejeanne Caron |
15436 | 32.60% |
| Billie Cross |
8037 | 17.00% |
| Ben Linnick |
2671 | 5.60% |
| Adam McAllister |
591 | 1.20% |
| Sharma Baljeet |
303 | 0.60% |
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
|
| Dan Vandal |
28530 | 58.40% |
| François Catellier |
14005 | 28.70% |
| Erin Selby |
5169 | 10.60% |
| Glenn Zaretski |
1119 | 2.30% |
2011 Results (redistributed)
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20261 | 50.13% |
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6381 | 15.79% |
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12611 | 31.20% |
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1165 | 2.88% |
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
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Saint Boniface
(98.12% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
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Winnipeg South
(1.88% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
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| 02/09/21 |
R.O. 24.146.13.237 |
This riding has the most crazy ballot with 14 independent candidates running here and not sure why if its some sort of record attempt or protest . likely to stay liberal as Dan Vandal has been mp since 2015 . although riding had been conservative from 2008-11 when Shelly Glover mp so its not entirely liberal in recent years. the cpc candidate is Shola Agboola as 2019 candidate Rejeanne Caron is running in Elmwood Transcona instead. |
| 25/08/21 |
DecisionDeskJockey 99.239.61.19 |
Dan Vandal has longstanding name recognition in the riding, while the Conservatives did not find anyone of remotely similar stature to mount a challenge. With suburban Sage Creek and deep south St. Boniface rapidly being built out, the francophone factor is diminishing. However, it's still sufficient to move this out of the ‘competitive’ category (unlike its otherwise similar neighbour Winnipeg South) -- even in a down year for the LPC. |
| 21/08/21 |
A.S. 99.225.52.35 |
Franco-Manitoban tradition dictates that this stays Liberal except in downtimes for the party--even though the riding's growth is increasingly tenuously related to said Franco-Manitobanness. Benefiting from Justinmania giddiness in '15, Vandal lost ground to all parties as such giddiness soured in '19--what's interesting is how the NDP exploded, relatively speaking, in urban Winnipeg--that is, unless Justinmania had earlier strategically suppressed it, and they now benefited from a Wab Kinew provincial honeymoon. For all one knows, if there's a further pandemic-election backlash to Justin and the Cons still can't get beyond treading water, this could be an unforeseen *three*-way race... |
| 11/05/21 |
VotreChoix 149.202.238.204 |
Likely will stay safe Liberal. When this went Conservative this went that way only for Shelly Glover, not the party. |
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