Davidson, Scot
	Jenkins, Benjamin
	Johnson, Daniella
	Lotter, Michael
Incumbent:
	Scot Davidson

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			104010 94616 39306 36405 791.32 km² 131.40/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Scot Davidson **	24918	46.30%
	Cynthia Wesley-Esquimaux	14407	26.80%
	Jessa McLean	7620	14.20%
	Jonathan Arnold	4650	8.60%
	Keith Komar	1311	2.40%
	Michael Lotter	875	1.60%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Peter Van Loan **	24058	50.20%
	Shaun Tanaka	18083	37.80%
	Sylvia Gerl	4255	8.90%
	Mark Viitala	1483	3.10%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		24623	63.66%
		7187	18.58%
		4384	11.33%
		2073	5.36%
Other		408	1.05%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
York-Simcoe    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Caroline Mulroney	26050	57.26%
	Dave Szollosy	10655	23.42%
	Loralea Carruthers	6182	13.59%
	Alexandra S. Zalucky	2195	4.83%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		12085	35.21%
		13768	40.11%
		6034	17.58%
		2132	6.21%
Other		304	0.89%

	19/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Growing riding but long time conservative riding . Scot Davidson a first term mp has held the riding since winning a by election in 2019. Oddly the 2019 liberal candidate is running in Simcoe North instead.
	04/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Bradford *does* represent a budding ‘Liberalization’ of York-Simcoe; but only relatively speaking--and the Libs won only 2 Bradford polls in '19 vs a flurry in '15. Besides, Bradford's growth might mean we'd be dealing w/different riding configurations in the future--that is, Barrie-Innisfil becoming Bradford-Innisfil--and much as w/Barrie-Innisfil, even that might not guarantee CPC vulnerability...
	29/05/21	KXS 99.247.196.32
York-Simcoe is a lock for the Conservatives. The riding is slowly changing with new developments in Bradford bringing in more Liberal-friendly voters. Maybe in another 20 years or so, this riding may vote in a similar way to King-Vaughan.