Berman, Hal
	Ehsassi, Ali
	Gorka, Anna
	Lee, Daniel
	Wahab, Al
Incumbent:
	Ali Ehsassi

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			118801 109680 53179 49949 19.77 km² 6009.90/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Ali Ehsassi **	22282	49.00%
	Daniel Lee	16452	36.20%
	Leah Kalsi	4231	9.30%
	Sharolyn Vettese	1671	3.70%
	Richard Hillier	563	1.20%
	Birinder Singh Ahluwalia	200	0.40%
	Shodja Ziaian	71	0.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Ali Ehsassi	24519	53.40%
	Chungsen Leung **	16990	37.00%
	Pouyan Tabasinejad	3203	7.00%
	James Arruda	1025	2.20%
	Birinder Singh Ahluwalia	216	0.50%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		16167	41.47%
		7384	18.94%
		15281	39.20%
		152	0.39%
Other		0	0.00%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Willowdale    (83.51% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
York Centre    (16.49% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Stan Cho	17732	43.63%
	David Zimmer *	10815	26.61%
	Saman Tabasinejad	10481	25.79%
	Randi Ramdeen	932	2.29%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		17637	52.83%
		10665	31.94%
		3701	11.09%
		1315	3.94%
Other		68	0.20%

	13/09/21	Ont2 24.114.60.123
The incumbent has had a tremendous increase in name recognition and has served the constituency rather well ever since he took office in 2015. He is currently one the most effective and efficient Parliamentary Secretaries within Government. Unsure why he is continuously overlooked for a Ministerial position, but a portfolio under him seems inevitable. Willowdale is looking quite comfortable in his favour.
	02/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Rematch of the 2019 election with incumbent Ali Ehsassi facing conservative candidate Daniel Lee. This riding had been conservative in 2011 when Chungsen Leung mp. and was pc in 79 when Joe Clark won and 84 when Mulroney won. But largely has been a liberal riding going back to the late 80’s as they’ve dominated the 416 nearly every election except 2011. it is currently held by the pc’s provincially as Stan Cho is the mpp but his victory was largely the result of a liberal/ndp vote split .
	19/08/21	meme 142.122.88.76
Relatively close relative to history last time, it is prime Conservative territory on the way to a majority. An overperformance gives this to the CPC
	28/07/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Maybe the Libs have historically only lost twice and by narrow margins; but let's face it--*this*, of all ridings, turned in the unlikely narrowest Lib-CPC margin in the 416 last election (and the only Lib non-majority where CPC was 2nd). So by that logic, it actually *wouldn't* any longer require a major Liberal implosion to deliver this to the Cons--though one thing that might have helped last time is that they nominated a strong candidate from within the Korean-Canadian community (which made for an interesting ethno-battle w/Ehsassi), as opposed to the blonde Karens running in DVN & York Centre who embodied the tin-earedness of the Scheer campaign. And he's running again. Still, '19 feels more like momentary fluke than foretelling.
	04/07/21	seasaw 99.225.229.135
Since inception, the Liberals have only lost this riding twice, once was during the Mulroney mega landslide, the other during the Ignatieff disaster, both of the losses were very close, so it's safe to say that this riding, barring a major Liberal implosion ( possible not probable), will stay Liberal, even if the Liberals were to lose the election
	20/06/21	Chris N 135.12.146.181
Willowdale is leaning Liberal at this time. It’s one of the handful of ridings in the GTA where the Liberal vote decreased in 2019, but so to did the CPC, albeit only by a little. The riding is a mishmash of communities - high rise, bungalows and McMansions, as well as cultures - Jewish, Korean, Chinese, Russian, Iranian and others - possibly making it the most heterogenous Toronto riding outside of the core.