Bryson, Chantelle
	Daines, Rick
	Hajdu, Patty
	Moddejonge, Amanda
	Taylor, Joshua
	Vodden, Alexander
Incumbent:
	Patty Hajdu

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			82651 82827 42614 36070 76852.43 km² 1.10/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Patty Hajdu **	18502	42.90%
	Frank Pullia	11036	25.60%
	Anna Betty Achneepineskum	9126	21.10%
	Bruce Hyer	3639	8.40%
	Youssef Khanjari	734	1.70%
	Alexander Vodden	140	0.30%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Patty Hajdu	20069	45.00%
	Andrew Foulds	10339	23.20%
	Richard Harvey	7775	17.40%
	Bruce Hyer **	6155	13.80%
	Robert Skaf	270	0.60%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		11162	29.65%
		18882	50.15%
		6202	16.47%
		1137	3.02%
Other		265	0.70%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Thunder Bay-Superior North    (97.43% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing    (2.57% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Michael Gravelle *	11973	39.86%
	Lise Vaugeois	11160	37.16%
	Derek Parks	5395	17.96%
	Amanda Moddejonge	838	2.79%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		15519	55.97%
		1991	7.18%
		8169	29.46%
		997	3.60%
Other		1049	3.78%

	14/09/21	NJam101 216.167.228.27
Patty Hajdu should have no trouble winning again. Being Northern Ontario's only cabinet minister and all of her media time during the pandemic has will help.
	06/09/21	Thomas K 24.85.228.170
@Wilflower not a place for partisan Liberal ads. No major party is proposing a ‘two tier’ healthcare system, and Patty Hajdu from my perspective has not been a particularly news-visible, nor competent health minister or party to Canada's COVID response. She will definitely lose ground to the Conservatives and NDP, but the margin is too large to surmount, so she will hold.
	05/09/21	Wildflower 172.83.175.119
People do not want a 2 tier healthcare system People want more action on climate change, and social housing .Way more job creation Keep in mind, this is the riding Patty Hajdu, Health Minister represented , and she was very active during the 1st, 2nd, 3rd wave, and is still active in the covid 19 vaccination process
	09/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Patty Hajdu as the North's powerhouse minister goes a long way (she was the party's top N Ontario electoral performer in '19)--and we're too far from Manitoba/Minnesota dynamics for a Con insurgency to pose a threat the way it does in the other TB riding. That said, for CPC to assume 2nd place (and more solidly so than in said other riding) is a bit of a shock; and once again, the most significant inroads were in remote resource towns a la Longlac/Manitouwadge/Marathon which once might have been *NDP* holdouts vs a Lib wave. And much as in TBRR, the NDP support base has ‘urbanized’. (And unfortunately, I don't know whether their having a FN candidate might explain some of those trending-away patterns.)
	20/05/21	Williams_Theo 99.255.248.252
For however Hajdu has handled / mishandled the COVID-19 pandemic, the residents of Thunder Bay-Superior North will easily re-elect her to her seat.
	19/05/21	NIKLAS 216.26.214.188
Easy win for liberals as Patty Hajdu seems popular here