Brooks, Krystal
	Chambers, Adam
	Durnford, Janet-Lynne
	Emo, Russ
	Makk, Stephen
	Wesley-Esquimaux, Cynthia
Incumbent:
	Bruce Stanton

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			111332 108672 58219 46789 1785.32 km² 62.40/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Bruce Stanton **	27241	43.40%
	Gerry Hawes	19310	30.80%
	Angelique Belcourt	8850	14.10%
	Valerie Powell	5882	9.40%
	Stephen Makk	1154	1.80%
	Chris Brown	341	0.50%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Bruce Stanton **	24836	43.50%
	Liz Riley	22718	39.80%
	Richard Banigan	6037	10.60%
	Peter Stubbins	2543	4.50%
	Jacob Kearey-Moreland	618	1.10%
	Scott Whittaker	319	0.60%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		27795	53.88%
		10540	20.43%
		9931	19.25%
		3020	5.85%
Other		300	0.58%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Simcoe North    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Jill Dunlop	25236	46.92%
	Elizabeth Van Houtte	15078	28.03%
	Gerry Marshall	9523	17.7%
	Valerie Powell	3632	6.75%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		14394	32.18%
		19556	43.71%
		7224	16.15%
		3562	7.96%

	24/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
No incumbent as Bruce Stanton retired after being mp since 2006. This riding had been liberal in the 90’s although before that was a solid conservative riding for decades. Adam Chambers is the new conservative candidate beating out several others for the nomination.
	04/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
A daring ‘no prediction’, even if it's piggybacking off open-seat opportunism--but as much as O'Toole might seek to appeal to homegrown Leacockian moderation, he still has to fight off the radicals both within his political wing and within this riding. And being at the edge of the Shield, Simcoe North isn't *entirely* devoid of that frontierish Hillier/Sloan element of radical-populist orneriness--and it might be beyond O'Toole to either keep that element at bay or prevent the ‘Mariposa moderates’ from migrating to the less wracked safe-choice Libs, much as they did in the Chretien era. And given how some of the historically sturdiest Con parts (Oro-Medonte, mostly) are no longer in the riding, it's a challenge.
	07/05/21	Teddy Boragina 104.247.243.177
Nice to see the site back in action again; been submitting for over half my life now! This is where I live, and it's almost certainly going to go blue again. O'Toole is explicitly trying to appeal to precisely the kind of conservative and Conservative who lives in this riding. As a riding, we are pro-mask, and moderate. By letting people know he does not support the radicals, O'Toole is telling people here that they have a safe choice in him. Given the riding's history, I see no reason why there would be a change. At least, not at the time of submission, in the spring of 2021.