Election Prediction Project

Mississauga-Erin Mills
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-08-03 16:45:09

Constituency Profile


Bayer, Michael

DeSilva, Ewan

Khalid, Iqra

Nguyen, James

Usman, Kaukab


Iqra Khalid

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



33.75 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Iqra Khalid ** 3118153.50%
Hani Tawfilis 1905032.70%
Salman Tariq 52369.00%
Remo Boscarino-Gaetano 21473.70%
Hazar Alsabagh 6481.10%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Iqra Khalid 2752049.70%
Bob Dechert ** 2171639.20%
Michelle Bilek 52069.40%
Andrew Roblin 9051.60%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 660.14%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (99.98% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (0.02% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Sheref Sabawy 1963141.61%
Farina Hassan 1302127.6%
Imran Mian 1196525.36%
Libby Yuill 12962.75%

2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

Other 13853.91%

06/09/21 Sam
Whilst I think the days where the Tories aren't in the top two are a long way away, nevertheless it's right to say that any Bob Dechert style Tory numbers are equally a long shot - it's hard to see the Liberals getting below 45% again as they did in the predecessor riding. I expect the gap to close somewhat but the Liberal call here is right.
31/08/21 R.O.
Iara Khalid was first elected here in 2015 and re elected in 2019. Although this riding had been conservative from 2008-11 when Bob Dechert mp. the conservatives have a new candidate this election James Nguyen. With polls showing a closer race in Ontario one of a number of races that might be closer than last election. but still an area that leans liberal federally in recent years.
03/08/21 A.S.
With her high backbench profile, Khalid was Mississauga's biggest '15-'19 Liberal ‘gainer’--and it's really the kind of riding that had no business being as Con-strong as it was during the Bob Dechert years. To the point where it might as well henceforth become Bramptonian in the potential-CPC-NDP race-for-2nd sense.

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