Johnstone, Jan
	Lobb, Ben
	Rice, James
	Smith, Justin L
	Stecho, Jack
Incumbent:
	Ben Lobb

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			106570 104842 52577 43992 5601.68 km² 19.00/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Ben Lobb **	29512	48.50%
	Allan Thompson	20167	33.10%
	Tony McQuail	7421	12.20%
	Nicholas Wendler	2665	4.40%
	Kevin M. Klerks	1102	1.80%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Ben Lobb **	26174	44.90%
	Allan Thompson	23129	39.70%
	Gerard Creces	7544	13.00%
	Jutta Splettstoesser	1398	2.40%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		29255	54.95%
		13493	25.34%
		8784	16.50%
		1455	2.73%
Other		254	0.48%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Huron-Bruce    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Lisa Thompson *	27646	52.36%
	Jan Johnstone	15326	29.03%
	Don Matheson	7356	13.93%
	Nicholas Wendler	1804	3.42%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		14647	30.86%
		18512	39.01%
		10843	22.85%
		1651	3.48%
Other		1804	3.80%

	02/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Ben Lobb was first elected in 2008 and re elected in every election since. This riding had been liberal in the 90’s but historically a long time conservative riding in rural south western Ontario. James Rice is the new liberal candidate and 2018 provincial ndp candidate Jan Johnstone the ndp candidate.
	04/07/21	seasaw 99.225.229.135
Unless the CPC really screws up, and even that might not be enough, they have this seat
	08/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
A Trudeaumania-fueled 5-point close-call gap in '15 got tripled in a '19 rematch: an archetypal story for rural Southern Ontario. In a real CPC-debacle scenario, maybe Lobb would be brought to a skin-of-the-teeth margin a la what he brought Paul Steckle to in '06. And Steckle Liberalism is a no-go in Justin's party.