Galea, Victoria
	Henriquez, Roberto
	Laranjo, Bert
	Rocchi, Spencer
	Tassi, Filomena
	Woods, Dean
Incumbent:
	Filomena Tassi

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			113024 109535 44962 42188 100.37 km² 1126.10/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Filomena Tassi **	30214	46.60%
	Bert Laranjo	17340	26.70%
	Yousaf Malik	11527	17.80%
	Victoria Galea	4770	7.30%
	Daniel Ricottone	894	1.40%
	Spencer Rocchi	156	0.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Filomena Tassi	29694	47.70%
	Vincent Samuel	19821	31.80%
	Alex Johnstone	10131	16.30%
	Peter Ormond	2633	4.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		22555	42.39%
		14997	28.19%
		13254	24.91%
		1985	3.73%
Other		408	0.77%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale    (66.22% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Hamilton Centre    (22.28% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Hamilton Mountain    (11.5% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Sandy Shaw	23921	43.19%
	Ben Levitt	17189	31.03%
	Ted Mcmeekin *	10960	19.79%
	Peter Ormond	2302	4.16%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		20760	43.21%
		12383	25.78%
		11941	24.86%
		2368	4.93%
Other		588	1.22%

	06/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
It's the Hamilton riding most tailor-made for Liberal-centric grand coalitions, with both the Conservative and NDP elements more ‘well-heeled’ than their respective Hamiltonian norms (Ancastrian estate subdivisions in the former case, McMaster campus-isms and Dundas bourgeois-bohemia in the latter). Though as with Guelph, it's seldom enough for a Lib majority, as opposed to prevailing over divide-and-conquer--not that such a technicality matters. And it's another of those seats worth monitoring for NDP-surpassing-CPC potential.
	27/05/21	Chris N 24.36.32.209
Tassi won the riding by a decent margin in 2019. The redrawing of this riding in 2015 has made it challenging for the Conservatives to win. I anticipate that the Liberals will win it again.