Balfour, Gene
	Davidson, Alison
	Forbes, Judi
	Godsoe, Angel
	Miller, Zac
	Schmale, Jamie
Incumbent:
	Jamie Schmale

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			113956 110217 67863 47279 7890.12 km² 14.40/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Jamie Schmale **	32257	49.10%
	Judi Forbes	17067	26.00%
	Barbara Doyle	9676	14.70%
	Elizabeth Fraser	5515	8.40%
	Gene Balfour	1245	1.90%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Jamie Schmale	27718	44.80%
	David Marquis	19634	31.80%
	Mike Perry	12012	19.40%
	Bill MacCallum	2470	4.00%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		32841	60.04%
		12068	22.06%
		7030	12.85%
		2760	5.05%
Other		0	0.00%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Laurie Scott *	32406	56.71%
	Zac Miller	15142	26.5%
	Brooklynne Cramp-Waldinsperger	5655	9.9%
	Lynn Therien	2551	4.46%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		16872	35.27%
		19278	40.30%
		9635	20.14%
		2048	4.28%

	04/09/21	JC 70.24.89.29
Demographics are changing, but not sure that will make it become more viable for the Liberals this election. CPC hold
	03/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Jamie Schmale was first elected in 2015 and re elected in 2019 in this rural conservative leaning riding which has been cpc since 2004. Judi Forbes is back as the liberal candidate and 2018 provincial ndp candidate Zac Miller for ndp .likely to stay cpc
	24/08/21	Rural Roots 72.39.220.234
While I have no doubt Schmale will prevail once again,I will be monitoring his plurality. The demographics oi this riding are gradually changing.There is an influx of folks from 416 & 905 moving to Lindsay & other towns,which over time could shift the balance of power. Also unlike the Liberal candidate, the CPC campaign office is not on a main street in Lindsay. will he break the 50% barrier?I'm not sure.
	08/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Central Ontario Heartland Conservative bedrock, ho hum. The sort of place where last time around, one of the entries posited a failure to reach 50% as an ‘only possible upset’. Yeah, sarcastically speaking, I guess such an upset hit Schmale--but hey, the voters had several alternatives, distribute the vote around, etc. (And the CPC/PPC united-right would have crossed the majority threshold, anyway.)
	07/08/21	Dr Bear 24.114.110.191
Easy Conservative hold, it almost requires no mention.
	06/08/21	J.F. Breton 207.253.54.66
Circonscription rurale de l'Ontario de tradition conservatrice. Peu de risque pour le député conservateur sortant, comme en font foi les dernières majorités.
	06/08/21	Branden 70.71.182.169
Fairly safe Conservative seat with the incumbent running again, even during the Liberal wave of 2015 he won by 13%. Unless the Conservative support collapses in rural Ontario they'll win this riding comfortably.