Frydman, Eric
	Gleeson, Timothy
	Mendicino, Marco
	Pollock, Geoff
	Senneker, Caleb
Incumbent:
	Marco Mendicino

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			114395 113150 47013 44184 22.67 km² 5046.00/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Marco Mendicino **	29850	53.30%
	Chani Aryeh-Bain	18549	33.10%
	Alexandra Nash	4741	8.50%
	Reuben DeBoer	2278	4.10%
	Michael Staffieri	586	1.00%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Marco Mendicino	27278	48.90%
	Joe Oliver **	23788	42.60%
	Andrew Thomson	3505	6.30%
	Matthew Chisholm	799	1.40%
	Ethan Buchman	308	0.60%
	Rudy Brunell Solomonovici	114	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		22652	46.81%
		5613	11.60%
		18590	38.42%
		1534	3.17%
Other		0	0.00%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Eglinton-Lawrence    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Robin Martin	19999	40.38%
	Mike Colle *	19042	38.45%
	Robyn Vilde	8985	18.14%
	Reuben Anthony Deboer	1190	2.4%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		22855	54.80%
		14079	33.76%
		3060	7.34%
		1305	3.13%
Other		407	0.98%

	18/07/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Without a heavy hitter like Joe Oliver, Eg-Law settled into being a demonstration of Jewish sectional voting gone berzerk in '19--their candidate even petitioned for an Jewish-holiday-avoiding election date change; and when that didn't work out, the ultra-Orthodox vote opted for special ballot instead (which leveraged 65-28 for the Cons, and with a special ballot total 2 1/2 times that in '15--meanwhile, the e-day polling stations within Orthodox areas saw sharply reduced turnouts). Looks like we're seeing a less radically sectional CPC candidate this time; but no matter, Mendicino's likely got it in the bag.
	13/06/21	seasaw 99.225.229.135
Since inception, this riding has sent a Liberal to Ottawa in all but one election. That was in 2011,when the Ignatieff disaster and Harper's competence played a role, but the bigger reason was Joe Volpe being filmed ripping his opponent's literature from a mailbox and replacing it with his. Marco Mendicino isn't going to do anything that dumb. The only thing that might be of some trouble for the Liberals is as MF explained the Jewish citizens in this riding, both Trudeau and Mendicino have been indifferent about the numerous Liberal MP's who have supported the terrorist group Hamas.
	20/05/21	MF 65.92.13.223
One of Toronto's major "Jewish" ridings, Eglinton-Lawrence saw a 10 point swing away from the Conservatives in 2019. Notably, Upper Forest Hill swung back to the Liberals. The Conservatives can count on the Orthodox Jewish community (as special ballot results showed), but the Liberals dominate affluent North Toronto and the rest of the riding. It's unlikely Marco Mendicino will face a real challenge here.