Dong, Han
	Griffin, Bruce
	Sobel, Jay
	Telfer, Natalie
	Zuniga, Sabrina
Incumbent:
	Han Dong

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			110076 103073 44193 42477 24.35 km² 4519.70/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Han Dong	23495	50.40%
	Sarah Fischer	16506	35.40%
	Bruce Griffin	4285	9.20%
	Daniel Giavedoni	1803	3.90%
	Jay Sobel	482	1.00%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Geng Tan	23494	51.40%
	Joe Daniel **	17279	37.80%
	Akil Sadikali	3896	8.50%
	Caroline Brown	1018	2.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		15802	40.30%
		8128	20.73%
		14626	37.30%
		517	1.32%
Other		142	0.36%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Don Valley East    (52.6% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Willowdale    (47.4% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Vincent Ke	18046	44.44%
	Shelley Carroll	12557	30.92%
	Akil Sadikali	8476	20.87%
	Janelle Yanishewski	1039	2.56%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		18001	52.60%
		11183	32.68%
		3746	10.95%
		1167	3.41%
Other		122	0.36%

	16/09/21	OgtheDim 173.206.6.129
Kinda wondering where the CPC strong candidate thing comes from - a quick google search indicates a weird view or two but then which political candidate doesn't have some weird stuff. This is a party riding where the feeling of the 416 suburbs towards the Tories, which is Blue Liberal in nature, is key to deciding if the Liberals win or not. The ballot question here is ‘ Do we vote the reds out or keep those blue guys out’. Right now, the latter seems to be the answer in these parts.
	06/09/21	seasaw 99.225.229.135
I'm making this prediction based on the latest Nanos poll for 416, it has the Liberals 44% and CPC at 33%. With numbers like that, it would be difficult for the Liberals to hang on to this riding. In the 416, if you're a Liberal candidate, you're guaranteed 30% support, regardless of which of the 25 ridings you run in and there are at least 4 ridings that in a bad year, you're guaranteed 50% or close to it. It's a lot different for the CPC, because in 416, there are a couple of rings that a double digit percentage is a good result, there are 3 more that a good result would be getting 15% ( your deposit back), then there are 3 others that a good result is higher than 25%. This riding does not fall in any of those categories, so with the Nanos numbers, you do the math, and you'll see that this riding is in play, providing of course these numbers hold. This coupled with the fact that the Liberal incumbent is a dud and the CPC has a good candidate, makes this a winnable riding for the CPC. Of course the numbers may change, so can my prediction.
	28/07/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Dong may have been a parachute, but his '19 CPC opponent Sarah Fischer was a poor fit for the riding even if she was a resident. But yes, this is part of the ‘Steeles belt’ which the rightward turn of the Jewish/Asian populace has turned into the currently lowest-hanging 416 fruit for CPC. As positioned now, DVN's not hanging low enough; in fact, maybe even retreating, and Sheppard-line urban intensification certainly doesn't help.
	26/05/21	Chris N 24.36.32.209
Many were upset last election when Han Dong, a former MPP in Downtown Toronto, was parachuted as a candidate in this north end Toronto riding. Despite this criticism, Dong won with a slim majority. If the Conservatives are to make waves in Toronto, I anticipate this would be one of the first ridings to switch blue. However, at this time I don't see an O'Toole-led CPC party matching the electoral support of the 2011 Harper election when the CPC finally broke through in Toronto. I'd bet on the Liberals winning this seat next election.