Bory, Leslie
	Brock, Larry
	Csordas, Karleigh
	Macdonald, Alison
	Roberts, Adrienne
	Squire, Cole
	Turmel, John The Engineer
Incumbent:
	Phil McColeman

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			130296 132443 53063 51204 828.81 km² 157.20/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Phil McColeman **	26849	40.30%
	Danielle Takacs	20454	30.70%
	Sabrina Sawyer	13131	19.70%
	Bob Jonkman	4257	6.40%
	Dave Wrobel	1320	2.00%
	Jeffrey Gallagher	394	0.60%
	John The Engineer Turmel	146	0.20%
	Leslie Bory	115	0.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Phil McColeman **	25874	40.90%
	Danielle Takacs	19422	30.70%
	Marc Laferriere	15715	24.80%
	Kevin Brandt	1582	2.50%
	Rob Ferguson	515	0.80%
	The Engineer Turmel	164	0.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		26667	48.41%
		15947	28.95%
		10410	18.90%
		1766	3.21%
Other		295	0.54%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Brant    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Will Bouma	24437	42%
	Alex Felsky	23802	40.91%
	Ruby Toor	5553	9.54%
	Ken Burns	2741	4.71%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		18899	37.86%
		14746	29.54%
		13677	27.40%
		2007	4.02%
Other		589	1.18%

	18/09/21	OgtheDim 173.206.6.129
CPC hold FWIW - this is not an ‘indigenous’ riding 6 Nations (Not Mohawk) vote % is actually relatively high compared to most reserves. The elected leaders have a lot more sway about people being able to vote - the news out today about the traditional (heriditary) leaders being against voting doesn't mean much beyond reducing the % who vote a bit. & the population of this riding is overwhelmingly conservative heartland types. The Nixon machine is gone.
	05/09/21	Wildflower 172.83.175.119
Since the riding is indigenous, it is hard to say where the mohawks will park their vote. I do know in the past the Caledonia was a serious issue when Conservatives were in the riding in the past. Could be a NDP pick up if not liberal . Hard to say I think healthcare is an issue because of what happened during the 2 nd wave. Many people do not want to have a 2 tier healthcare system
	02/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
This riding has no incumbent as Phil Mccoleman retired after first getting elected here in 2008. Prior to that the riding had been liberal and ndp . Larry Brock is the new conservative candidate. Facing Adrienne Roberts ndp and Allison Macdonald liberal. as long as the cpc remains competitive in Ontario they should keep there open seats.
	05/07/21	Old Tory 167.88.128.79
Here is what most people miss. In 2006, Brant had a Liberal MP, a Liberal MPP and a Liberal mayor. The local Tory EDA was broke. Phil took a bunch of advice from people who had never won a campaign in the past and still barely lost. Phil regrouped after that loss, put his own team together and has not looked back. All the while becoming one of the richest non Western EDAs of any party in the country(look it up). Pretty well that same team got Bouma and Davis elected. Both Tories. 100 per cent flip in 12 years. I haven't heard about anyone leaving the team even though Phil is retiring. So, Larry could still lose but Brantford types don't look too kindly on people from â€کaway’. I have been here for 48 years and still do not feel like I am â€کfrom’ here. So good luck to whomever the parachuted Liberal is(whose name currently escapes me). She will need it.
	13/05/21	Jeremus von Stroheim 99.251.36.14
Going to revise my prediction here, the federal liberals decided to parachute someone from Toronto into this riding for the third time in a row. This is not a blue seat though, it's just one that the federal liberals have given up on winning. Also it is basically as rural as Cambridge, and the liberals won that fairly easily.
	11/05/21	Craig 24.233.229.249
Old trends are meaningless here. Brantford isn't exactly friendly for the Liberals these days and this is very low on the pickup opportunities list, incumbent or not. This is not the same Liberal Party that existed then - it is far more urbane and white collar, which is not a good combination for a largely working class riding. Urban Brantford should be a mix of all three parties with no one dominating, but the Conservatives should still decently well (and so should the NDP, which will hurt the Liberals). The rural parts of Brant County is heavily Conservative and should put them over the top.
	05/05/21	Jeremus von Storheim 23.248.145.246
I'm going to call this early for the liberals, and it will probably go liberal by a fair margin. The conservative incumbent has announced that he will not be running again, and his replacement candidates are not nearly as popular as he is. In the previous election you had a very popular conservative incumbent, facing a very unpopular liberal candidate, and a somewhat more popular NDP candidate. This seat is a very traditional liberal stronghold in southwestern ontario, before Phil McColeman there were almost no conservative MPs, and it stayed liberal in the 2006 election, while a lot of the rest of southwest ontario was lost. So given that the Conservatives and NDP are both running rather weak candidates, it should be the easiest liberal pickup in Ontario, even if they end up losing other seats.
	08/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Never mind the rhetoric about Brantford being ‘blue collar’ and hence on some kind of terminal Obama/Trump trajectory. The fact is, it's a large city, the dominant presence in the riding (w/Paris as minor-centre reinforcement), as well as an increasing part of a regional-conurbation economic dynamic (a connector piece btw/Hamilton & K-W, so to speak); and in the overall SW Ontario scheme of things, it *should* be very much left-viable, maybe even ‘migrating’ in that direction, most particularly as an open seat. But the trouble is, the local Liberal machine's been basically left to atrophy post-Jane Stewart (thus the halfhearted efforts in recent cycles), while energetic NDP campaigns and memories of Derek Blackburn simply haven't been enough to overtake the current red-blue binary ‘a vote for the NDP is a vote for the Conservatives’ pigeonhole. Thus the seat's been handed to the Cons on a platter--and by the sound of things in the Liberal camp, it's going to require CPC candidate bozodom, and/or a lot of last-straw thinking among past CPC ‘moderate’ voters re the party's direction, and/or substantial right-populist ‘freedom bloc’ leakage to PPC or wherever, and/or a bigger Jagmeet wave convincing constituents that an NDP vote isn't vote-wasting folly or a Painfully Woke meal ticket...
	06/08/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
This area was stubbornly Liberal in the 90s through to 2008 (different boundaries of course). This was not even a vote-split victim in 2000; the Liberals vastly outperformed Alliance + PC that year. So the resilience of the Conservative vote lately is somewhat surprising. Being in the Hamilton orbit, the NDP is fairly strong and almost took this seat provincially in 2018. Likely Conservative hold; Jagmeet's popularity should prevent any appreciable rise in the Liberal vote.