Awan, Arshad
	Holland, Mark
	Hughes, Monique
	Paulseth, Leigh
Incumbent:
	Mark Holland

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			119677 109600 38105 37549 67.00 km² 1786.40/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Mark Holland **	35198	57.70%
	Tom Dingwall	15864	26.00%
	Shokat Malik	7033	11.50%
	Maia Knight	2040	3.30%
	Susanna Russo	588	1.00%
	Allen Keith Hadley	186	0.30%
	Intab Ali	111	0.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Mark Holland	31458	55.90%
	Chris Alexander **	19374	34.40%
	Stephanie Brown	4630	8.20%
	Jeff Hill	788	1.40%
	Bob Kesic	57	0.10%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		19535	44.23%
		6624	15.00%
		16754	37.93%
		1200	2.72%
Other		53	0.12%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Ajax-Pickering    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Rod Phillips	19078	39.05%
	Monique Hughes	15130	30.97%
	Joe Dickson *	12607	25.8%
	Stephen Leahy	1224	2.51%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		20825	51.77%
		11471	28.52%
		6544	16.27%
		1174	2.92%
Other		214	0.53%

	14/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Mark Holland has been mp for this area since 2004 minus the 2011 election when he lost to Chris Alexander. The cpc has a new candidate this election Arshad Awan who hasn’t run federally before . the ndp candidate is Monique Hughes. The pc’s won this riding in 2018 when Rod Phillips first elected although been a strong liberal riding federally and the parties generally don’t find strong candidates to challenge Holland here despite the riding being part of the suburban 905 belt.
	05/09/21	Wildflower 172.83.175.119
People may vote for Mark Holland this time around because he is well liked in the riding as a person. People do not want a 2 tier healthcare system People want more action on climate change, and social housing .Way more job creation
	20/08/21	DurhamDave 99.232.135.116
This is Mark Holland's riding. Unless the LPC have a disastrous night and totally collapse in Ontario, which I don't think is likely, veteran MP Holland should easily hold it.
	14/08/21	Hammer 45.132.227.25
I always felt like the Conservatives should be more competitive here. Ajax is prototypically middle class, a lot of commuters, small business owning types, lots of cops, and less gentile than other GTA suburbs like York or Halton. Still, with the exception of the 2011 Harper majority and a star candidate in Chris Alexander, this riding has been reliably red. Holland is a veteran MP, and despite being the government whip, will likely be eying a larger cabinet role if the Liberals form government again.
	06/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
It might be some kind of Con-camp hardwiring that it's still the Ajax of 20-30 years ago that's led them to fling ‘stars’ like Chris Alexander and (provincially) Rod Phillips at it, only to never quite win as emphatically as they hoped. This time maybe they can stake their hopes on this being broadly ‘O'Toole country’; but instead, the way things are going, we might as well be seeing a CPC/NDP race for 2nd instead.
	09/06/21	Chris N 24.36.32.209
Holland won this riding by a strong margin in 2015 and 2019. Unless the Conservatives can reach 2011 Harper-level support, it is likely to stay Liberal next election.
	15/05/21	MF 65.92.13.223
Ajax had the top Liberal vote share in the 905 last time. Many South Asian and Black Torontonians have moved to Ajax.