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Ville-Marie-Le Sud-Ouest-Île-des-Soeurs
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:58:01
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Charbonneau-Lavictoire, Cynthia

Dubé, Denise

Miller, Marc

Orihuela-Bouchard, Soledad

Shanahan, Steve

Sullivan, Linda

Thiébaut, Sophie

Vargas, Hans Armando


Incumbent:

Marc Miller

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

114659
103070

73396
62412

22.26 km²
5151.00/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Marc Miller ** 2808753.50%
Sophie Thiébaut 827415.80%
Nadia Bourq 689913.10%
Michael Forian 46098.80%
Liana Canton Cusmano 37187.10%
Jean Langlais 5201.00%
Tommy Gaudet 1400.30%
Louise B. O'Sullivan 1170.20%
Marc Patenaude 1130.20%
Linda Sullivan 450.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Marc Miller 2549150.80%
Allison Turner 1175723.40%
Steve Shanahan 594811.90%
Chantal St-Onge 43078.60%
Daniel Green 23984.80%
Daniel Wolfe 1610.30%
William Sloan 1020.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

477211.91%
1662741.49%
1101427.48%
642416.03%
11182.79%
Other 1220.30%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Jeanne-Le Ber
   (61.42% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Westmount-Ville-Marie
   (36.44% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Laurier-Sainte-Marie
   (1.51% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Outremont
   (0.63% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Just more of that West Island Liberal tedium where the Libs are in majority territory and no other parties are above the 20% threshold--except that it's Montreal's downtown core riding; and much like NDG-Westmount, the NDP became the ‘2nd party’ by way of elimination and token Jagmeetian redemption, and maybe a latent something-else nobody quite twigged onto...
09/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
On voit mal comment Marc Miller pourrait perdre cette circonscription très libérale du sud-ouest de l'île de Montréal. Le résultat de la dernière élection parle de lui-même.



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