Beaumont Tremblay, Hugo
	Bergeron, Valérie
	Bouchard, Jacques
	Bruneau, Jacynthe
	Champagne, François-Philippe
	Frazer, Dji-Pé
	Gaudet, Marie-Claude
	Magnan, Alain
	Rouleau, Marie Gabrielle
Incumbent:
	François-Philippe Champagne

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			110264 110268 59084 51177 34573.41 km² 3.20/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	François-Philippe Champagne **	23104	39.60%
	Nicole Mor	19950	34.20%
	Bruno-Pier Courchesne	9542	16.30%
	Barthélémy Boisguérin	3071	5.30%
	Stéphanie Dufresne	1809	3.10%
	Julie Déziel	938	1.60%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	François-Philippe Champagne	24475	41.50%
	Jean-Yves Tremblay	12245	20.80%
	Sacki Carignan Deschamps	11295	19.20%
	Jacques Grenier	9592	16.30%
	Martial Toupin	1144	1.90%
	Jean-Paul Bédard	196	0.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		9452	17.13%
		22777	41.28%
		6031	10.93%
		15712	28.48%
		1120	2.03%
Other		89	0.16%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Saint-Maurice-Champlain    (87.01% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Trois-Rivières    (12.99% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	17/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
FPC might technically be ‘not completely safe’; but look--outside of the St. Lawrence Islands (including Perrot) and Gatineau, the only QC seats that fall beyond that Liberal ‘not completely safe’ zone are Brossard-Saint-Lambert and Louis-Hebert. Given that tableau, it's really a generic stacked deck we're dealing with--and w/that under consideration, FPC has actually succeeded quite remarkably to date, and without a p'tit gars Prime Ministerial alibi, yet. I'll bow to the generic by withholding a prediction, though--after all, as it stands, SM-C's *really* incongruous compared to what surrounds it, and the post-Chretien era proved how the seat could still slip into ‘generic’ Bloc-into-Orange-Crush mode if necessary. But for now, in the service of King Justin, it's got no problems parking in the Lib camp: ‘yeah, we went through the Jean Chretien years, we know how to handle this’, etc...
	08/07/21	Marco Ricci 174.114.237.78
Franأ§ois-Philippe Champagne probably has the edge here for now, but he may not be totally safe. J.F. Breton is correct that Champagne is a high-profile cabinet minister, but the BQ finished a strong 2nd here in 2019 and the BQ appears to be running a couple points higher in the polls in 2021. The possibility remains for a close race here.
	23/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
François-Philippe Champagne a été à l'avant-plan du gouvernement Trudeau. C'est un habile politicien, bien en vue, et au diapason de sa circonscription. Réélection après une intéressante lutte contre le Bloc.