Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Rivière-du-Nord
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-24 14:12:04
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Bajkin, Theodora

Damour, Marie-Eve

Fortin, Rhéal

Morrissette, Patricia

Paspaliaris, Mary-Helen

Ravanshid, Keeyan

René, Jean-François

Riqueur-Lainé, Nicolas


Incumbent:

Rhéal Fortin

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

112156
102085

52383
49057

357.32 km²
313.90/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Rhéal Fortin 3128152.00%
Florence Gagnon 1340222.30%
Sylvie Fréchette 712011.80%
Myriam Ouellette 41947.00%
Joey Leckman 33455.60%
Normand Michaud 4070.70%
Nicolas Riqueur-Lainé 2250.40%
Lucie St-Gelais 1270.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Rhéal Fortin 1815732.00%
Pierre Dionne Labelle ** 1707730.10%
Janice Bélair Rolland 1493326.40%
Romain Vignol 47938.50%
Joey Leckman 14362.50%
Fobozof A. Côté 2610.50%


2011 Results (redistributed)

40228.43%
2629155.12%
30786.45%
1345028.20%
8571.80%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Rivière-du-Nord
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
'15 Bloc pickup turned '19 Bloc majority: like Mirabel, only more emphatically so. (Though in '19, the Lib vote might have been forced downward by the presence of a star CPC candidate: former Olympian Sylvie Frechette. Which was good for growing the Conservative vote by 50%; except that that was only good for just under 12%. Sadly, Andrew Scheer was no Brian Mulroney.)
22/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Territoire nationaliste et caquiste par excellence. Terreau fertile pour le Bloc Québécois dans la couronne nord de Montréal. Peu de risque pour le député en place. Rhéal Fortin est une pointure au Bloc.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster