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Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-22 10:55:54
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Diallo, Sani

Fiset, Charles

Gagnon, David-Roger

Godin, Joël

Hébert, Christian

Mathieu, Nash

Pelletier, Tommy


Incumbent:

Joël Godin

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

115313
104440

52665
46656

7205.33 km²
16.00/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Joël Godin ** 2811043.50%
Mathieu Bonsai 1570724.30%
Annie Talbot 1287619.90%
David-Roger Gagnon 37585.80%
Marie-Claude Gaudet 23083.60%
Luca Abbatiello 19153.00%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Joël Godin 2729044.00%
Élaine Michaud ** 1368622.10%
David Gauvin 1332221.50%
Raymond Harvey 666510.70%
Johanne Morin 10961.80%


2011 Results (redistributed)

0.00%
2238742.67%
34636.60%
1074520.48%
12792.44%
Other 1459427.82%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


01/09/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Joel Godin was first elected in 2015 and re elected in 2019, riding has somewhat of a colourful history , ndp in 2011 and an independent mp from 2006-08. Likely to stay cpc as things stand now.
17/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
The stability from '15 to '19 says it all (w/the Bloc substituting for the NDP in the latter year); the only real hiccup being where the inner parts of Desmaures declare ‘we'd rather be Lightbound’. The only possible threat in a riding like this would be if Maxime Bernier decided it was worth supertargeting--which given its Andre Arthur past, is not an entirely implausible notion...
18/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Joël Godin est bien en selle dans Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier. Le secteur Jacques-Cartier (la banlieue nord de Québec) est plus conservateur. La division du vote à trois devrait favoriser les Conservateurs et assurer sa réélection.



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