Ben Youssef, Nabila
	Boutin, Christian
	Colly, Garnet
	Lepine, Alain
	Martin, Raymond
	Paré, Christine
	Rivera, Julio
	Trudeau, Justin
	Zako, Béatrice
	Znoneofthe, Above
Incumbent:
	Justin Trudeau

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			110750 108977 56028 52286 9.91 km² 11179.40/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Justin Trudeau **	25957	51.10%
	Christine Paré	9748	19.20%
	Christian Gagn	8124	16.00%
	Juan Vazquez	3741	7.40%
	Sophie Veilleux	2155	4.20%
	Jean-Patrick Cacereco Berthiaume	363	0.70%
	Mark Sibthorpe	322	0.60%
	Susanne Lefebvre	186	0.40%
	Alain Magnan	76	0.10%
	Luc Lupien	75	0.10%
	Steve Penner	34	0.10%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Justin Trudeau **	26391	52.00%
	Anne Lagacé Dowson	13132	25.90%
	Maxime Claveau	6182	12.20%
	Yvon Vadnais	2390	4.70%
	Danny Polifroni	1443	2.80%
	Chris Lloyd	505	1.00%
	Tommy Gaudet	323	0.60%
	Kim Waldron	159	0.30%
	Peter Macrisopoulos	142	0.30%
	Beverly Bernardo	103	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		2313	5.04%
		13526	29.47%
		17407	37.93%
		11419	24.88%
		866	1.89%
Other		356	0.78%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Papineau    (92.13% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Outremont    (4.31% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel    (3.57% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	16/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Trudeau will surely hold onto the papineau riding he’s been mp for it since 2008 and even survived the 2011 election. Although he’s never properly explained why he called this election in the first place and that might help to explain why the polls have remained so close. As many voters never felt a pandemic vote was justified and some worry e day could turn into a fiasco in some ridings due to lack of staff and fewer polls compared to past years. but most of urban montreal will stay liberal regardless .
	09/09/21	Jake H. 45.72.226.17
The real race here is for second place, obviously. There is more ‘anti-Trudeau’ sentiment here and across the board than in 2019, but despite that this will still be a cake-walk for the PM/Liberal leader, in a riding that has been red forever other than a brief blip when the Bloc was able to pry it away from them in the wake of the Sponsorship Scandal. Trudeau took 51% of the vote last time despite high profile scandals (‘corruption’, ‘blackface’ etc), so expect more of the same this time around. An absolute, definite, 100% Liberal hold.
	21/08/21	Marco Ricci 174.114.237.78
The thing to remember about Papineau is that it has been a Liberal stronghold since the 1950's. Only once, in 2006, during the height of the Sponsorship Scandal, have the Liberals lost it. After winning the riding from the BQ in 2008, Justin Trudeau has put this riding solidly back in the Liberal column. That is also reflected by the fact that there are hardly any entries on this page. Back in the days of Justin Trudeau vs. Vivan Barbot, this page had a lot of activity. Now this page is virtually empty. A sign of how predictable the wins for Trudeau have become.
	15/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Call be clairvoyant; but even before Jagmeetmania hit in '19, I was speculating on the likelihood of the NDP in 2nd on grounds of provincial QS strength and the present-day Bloc's lack of urban appeal. And...I was right. Of course, a distant 2nd to Justin; but it *was* their best result in a Montreal (or indeed, Quebec) riding they didn't hold in '15. Not that Justin is in any danger of electoral decapitation, but...
	05/05/21	JW 45.41.168.96
CPC won over 80% in most rural Aberta ridings last time.