Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Montcalm
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:57:01
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Beaudry, Bruno

Bellerose, Robert

Desroches, Gisèle

Goué, Oulai B.

Goyette, Mathieu

Qureshi, Javeria

Thériault, Luc


Incumbent:

Luc Thériault

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

107981
99518

45181
42906

874.90 km²
123.40/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Luc Thériault 3179158.00%
Isabel Sayegh 1120020.40%
Gisèle Desroches 49429.00%
Julian Bonello-Stauch 35146.40%
Mathieu Goyette 24164.40%
Hugo Clénin 5241.00%
Marc Labelle 4190.80%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Luc Thériault 1940536.60%
Louis-Charles Thouin 1448427.30%
Martin Leclerc 1243123.50%
Gisèle DesRoches 50939.60%
Yumi Yow Mei Ang 9761.80%
Manon Perreault ** 6201.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

35557.94%
2322851.90%
22034.92%
1407131.44%
16963.79%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Montcalm
   (91.31% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Repentigny
   (8.69% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
2nd highest Bloc share to Joliette; 2nd highest Bloc margin to Becancour et al. Let *that* sink in.
09/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Luc Thériault sera à nouveau candidat dans Montcalm, circonscription nationaliste de la couronne nord de Montréal. Il sollicitera un troisième mandat. Il devrait aisément l'emporter dans ce coin de pays par ailleurs résolument caquiste.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster