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Louis-Saint-Laurent
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:56:22
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Bilodeau, Thierry

Chicoine, Daniel

Côté, Guillaume

Deltell, Gérard

Fortin, Mélanie

Huang, Yu-Ti Eva

Morin, Nathanielle


Incumbent:

Gérard Deltell

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

117238
106888

52195
50861

138.17 km²
848.50/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Gérard Deltell ** 2927944.70%
Jeanne-Paule Desgagn 1467422.40%
Jean-Christophe Cusson 1357120.70%
Colette Amram Ducharme 43396.60%
Sandra Mara Riedo 21553.30%
Guillaume Côté 15432.40%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Gérard Deltell 3263750.50%
Youri Rousseau 1385221.40%
G. Daniel Caron 1029615.90%
Ronald Sirard 668810.30%
Michel Savard 12101.90%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2127837.58%
2257639.88%
36076.37%
812714.36%
8521.50%
Other 1750.31%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Louis-Saint-Laurent
   (99.98% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Louis-Hébert
   (0.02% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


03/09/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Gerard Deltell was first elected in 2015 and re elected in 2019. The riding has been conservative since 2006 when the party first won seats in Quebec city except 2011 when it went ndp. So a cpc area federally and a well known mp so likely hold.
17/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
If the Cons hold their own in QC in the face of implosion elsewhere, it'd because of them being the Deltell party, not the O'Toole party. Though Deltell did deflate a little over '15--nothing more than the token drift of maturing suburbia, I presume. (If the riding were more ‘rural’ or ‘removed’ in a South Shore way, there might have been more poll stability.)
09/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
La région de la Capitale-Nationale est un terreau fertile pour les Conservateurs. A titre d'exemple, lors d'un récent sondage au niveai provoncial, la CAQ obtenait 52% et le PCQ 14%, les partis de gauche (PQ et QS) ne récoltant que des miettes. Gérard Deltell est très apprécié et bien en vue. Réélection facile.



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