Gagnon, Florence
	Girard, Manon
	King, Simon
	Lafrenaye, Jacinthe
	Murray, Mildred
	Tall, Boukare
	Trudel, Denis
Incumbent:
	Denis Trud

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			108703 104366 50064 47743 55.25 km² 1967.60/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Denis Trud	23061	38.50%
	Réjean Hébert	20471	34.20%
	Pierre Nantel **	6745	11.30%
	Éric Ferland	5104	8.50%
	Patrick Clune	3779	6.30%
	Ellen Comeau	467	0.80%
	Pierre-Luc Filion	217	0.40%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Pierre Nantel **	18171	31.20%
	Michael O'Grady	17468	30.00%
	Denis Trudel	15873	27.30%
	John Sedlak	5087	8.70%
	Casandra Poitras	1447	2.50%
	Affine Lwalalika	153	0.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		4601	8.74%
		26335	50.02%
		5313	10.09%
		15162	28.80%
		1155	2.19%
Other		87	0.17%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Longueuil-Pierre-Boucher    (77.73% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Saint-Bruno-Saint-Hubert    (22.27% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	19/09/21	Sam 92.40.74.103
Hold on! This projection makes no sense in light of the others, (especially Hochelaga going Bloc). I realise there was a Mainstreet poll, but it's out of date and before the Bloc catching up to their current total. If you think this is going Liberal, I would expect you to be putting Hochelaga and Beauport-Limoilou in the Liberal column as well. I expect the Bloc to narrowly win here.
	15/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Denis Trudel was first elected here in 2019 , riding had been ndp from 2011-15 when Pierre Nantel mp who oddly ran as the green candidate here in the last election. Feel the riding is tough to predict but less likely the bloc lose seats in Longueuil a long time bloc area historically than liberals gain seats there this election.
	31/08/21	Drew613 198.103.96.11
A Mainstreet riding poll came out on the weekend showing an 8.3 point Liberal lead over the Bloc. That's outside the poll's margin of error: https://ipolitics.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/LongueuilSaintHubert-iPolitics-19August2021.pdf Un sondage Mainstreet a été publié ce week-end pour Longeuil-Saint-Hubert, montrant une avance libérale de 8,3 points sur le Bloc. C'est en dehors de la marge d'erreur du sondage : https://ipolitics.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/LongueuilSaintHubert-iPolitics-19August2021.pdf
	27/08/21	Lolitha 161.184.30.62
Mainstreet has a close-ish race with a Liberal advantage, 45 Liberal to 37 Bloc https://ipolitics.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/LongueuilSaintHubert-iPolitics-19August2021.pdf
	15/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Even if the Bloc won out in the end and the ‘Nantel Green’ element might be likelier to default BQ than Lib (or, hey, in the present climate, even back to NDP), this remains narrow enough to be targetable by the Libs thanks in no small part to suburban ‘Montrealization’. If the Bloc sought a more-or-less guaranteed seat, Old Longueuil wouldn't have been split in two.
	30/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
En 2019, Denis Trudel a eu maille à partir avec Réjean Hébert, candidat vedette des Libéraux, par ailleurs ancien ministre péquiste. Le jeu était en outre incertain avec la candidature de l'ex-néo-démocrate Pierre Nantel, passé au Parti Vert. Le portrait est bien différent aujourd'hui. Denis Trudel est bien implanté et à moins d'un candidat vedette pour les Libéraux, réélection du Bloc.