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Laval-Les Îles
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-22 10:55:45
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Couture, Matthieu

El-Khoury, Fayçal

Jolivet, Guillaume

Pettas, Spyridonas

Taleb, Ahmed

Woodmass, Rowan


Incumbent:

Fayçal EL-Khoury

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

108003
103053

40745
39260

46.36 km²
2329.70/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Fayçal EL-Khoury ** 2603148.20%
Nacera Bedd 1112020.60%
Tom Pentefountas 881616.30%
Noémia Onofre De Lima 48038.90%
Sari Madi 23064.30%
Marie-Louise Beauchamp 8851.60%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Fayçal El-Khoury 2585747.70%
François Pilon ** 1071019.80%
Roland Dick 981118.10%
Nancy Redhead 673112.40%
Faiza R'Guiba-Kalogerakis 9211.70%
Yvon Breton 1750.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

733316.43%
2106947.20%
920720.62%
575512.89%
7941.78%
Other 4831.08%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Laval-Les Îles
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Going into '19, I observed the lack of variation among the '15 Liberal shares in Laval despite this being the traditional ‘designated Liberal riding’--and wouldn't you know that, '19 compounded that though barely more than half a point separating the Libs in 3 out of 4 ridings. And once again, CPC outperforming on ‘Jewish Chomedey’ bottom-feeding nominal-opposition energy in the non-Franco zones, and the Bloc outperforming in Laval-Ouest as if it *really* wanted to be part of a more Riviere-des-Mille-Iles-focused political entity (maybe even as part of the riding of the same name?)
18/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Les changements démographiques inhérents à la région de Laval favorisent les Libéraux fédéraux. À moins d'un raz-de-marée bloquiste au Québec, victoire assez facile des Libéraux à Laval.



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